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Nottingham Races – Thursday 1 October 2026

Thursday 1 October 2026

13:23–16:50 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed120
Favourite strike rate35.8%
Favourite place rate63.3%

Race dates 2026-04-08 to 2026-10-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f7/24 fav wins · 29.2% · -32.4% ROI24 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 6f6/26 fav wins · 23.1% · -50.0% ROI26 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 1m5/12 fav wins · 41.7% · -13.2% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m1f9/15 fav wins · 60.0% · +16.7% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f11/28 fav wins · 39.3% · -7.1% ROI28 races · 30 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 1m6f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -10.0% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners32/68 fav wins · 47.1% · -10.1% ROI68 races · 72 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners9/39 fav wins · 23.1% · -33.7% ROI39 races · 40 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners2/13 fav wins · 15.4% · -30.8% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap27/78 fav wins · 34.6% · -13.2% ROI78 races · 81 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -43.5% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Novice6/22 fav wins · 27.3% · -54.2% ROI22 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Other6/10 fav wins · 60.0% · +32.0% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws14/32 fav wins · 43.8% · -8.6% ROI32 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws12/33 fav wins · 36.4% · -16.7% ROI33 races · Stronger evidence
  • High draws14/45 fav wins · 31.1% · -30.1% ROI45 races · 46 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ed Walker6/1637.5%+37.6%
Eve Johnson Houghton5/771.4%+397.6%
James Fanshawe4/850.0%+154.7%
Roger Varian4/1330.8%+26.0%
Tim Easterby4/2416.7%-20.4%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Cieren Fallon5/2222.7%-46.5%
Ashley Lewis4/944.4%-10.6%
Marco Ghiani4/2615.4%-5.8%
Kieran Shoemark3/837.5%+208.8%
Tom Marquand3/837.5%-2.1%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ed Walker

6 wins from 16 runs · 37.5% strike rate · +37.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Roger Varian

4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +26.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Ralph Beckett

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +10.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Rowan Scott

3 wins from 14 runs · 21.4% strike rate · +7.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Ray Dawson

3 wins from 13 runs · 23.1% strike rate · +3.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jason Watson

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +15.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 14

6 wins from 32 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +20.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 14
10 · 12+ runners

2 wins from 28 runs · 7.1% strike rate · +8.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · 10; 12+ runners
Non-handicap · 12+ runners

2 wins from 24 runs · 8.3% strike rate · +4.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Non-handicap; 12+ runners

Meeting races

13:23EBF Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickViking Barbie9/4 13:58Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Top PickTumishi11/2 14:33Watch Racing TV Handicap Top PickCorsican Caper3/1 15:08EBF Oh So Sharp Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Top PickThi Qar1/3 15:43£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Top PickKaindy5/6 16:18Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Top PickCrimson Road8/1 16:50Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap Top PickMelissa Honey13/2
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