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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Nottingham Races – Thursday 1 October 2026

Thursday 1 October 2026

13:23–16:50 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed52
Favourite strike rate48.1%
Favourite place rate73.1%

Race dates 2026-07-04 to 2026-10-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -18.4% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 6f4/13 fav wins · 30.8% · -36.4% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m1f6/9 fav wins · 66.7% · +29.5% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 1m2f6/13 fav wins · 46.2% · +13.6% ROI13 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners23/41 fav wins · 56.1% · +10.1% ROI41 races · 42 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners2/9 fav wins · 22.2% · -38.9% ROI9 races · Small sample

Race categories

  • Handicap16/32 fav wins · 50.0% · +5.7% ROI32 races · 33 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · -28.2% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • Novice2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -47.9% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • Other4/6 fav wins · 66.7% · +39.4% ROI6 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws8/16 fav wins · 50.0% · +12.6% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws9/15 fav wins · 60.0% · +24.3% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws8/21 fav wins · 38.1% · -31.5% ROI21 races · 22 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ed Walker4/850.0%-15.4%
William Haggas3/742.9%+3.0%
James Fanshawe2/540.0%+87.5%
Clive Cox2/633.3%+308.3%
Nigel Tinkler2/633.3%+47.9%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ashley Lewis4/850.0%+0.6%
Cieren Fallon3/560.0%+10.3%
Jason Watson3/650.0%+112.5%
Tom Marquand3/650.0%+30.6%
James Doyle2/540.0%-47.8%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: William Haggas

3 wins from 7 runs · 42.9% strike rate · +3.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Clive Cox

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +308.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Nigel Tinkler

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +47.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

1 wins from 11 runs · 9.1% strike rate · +18.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Tom Eaves

1 wins from 9 runs · 11.1% strike rate · +133.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Ashley Lewis

4 wins from 8 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +0.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

9 · 1–7 runners

9 wins from 44 runs · 20.5% strike rate · +7.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · 9; 1–7 runners
Handicap · 12+ runners

2 wins from 29 runs · 6.9% strike rate · +24.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners
14 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +124.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · 14; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:23EBF Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickViking Barbie9/4 13:58Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Top PickTumishi11/2 14:33Watch Racing TV Handicap Top PickCorsican Caper3/1 15:08EBF Oh So Sharp Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Top PickThi Qar1/3 15:43£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Top PickKaindy5/6 16:18Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Top PickCrimson Road8/1 16:50Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap Top PickMelissa Honey13/2
My Picks