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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Ayr Races – Thursday 8 October 2026

Thursday 8 October 2026

13:45–17:13 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed73
Favourite strike rate34.2%
Favourite place rate61.6%

Race dates 2026-07-11 to 2026-10-08. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f0/6 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 6f5/19 fav wins · 26.3% · -44.2% ROI19 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f6/15 fav wins · 40.0% · +19.1% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · +27.8% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f7/14 fav wins · 50.0% · +55.5% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners9/18 fav wins · 50.0% · +1.4% ROI18 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners12/27 fav wins · 44.4% · +39.2% ROI27 races · 29 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners4/28 fav wins · 14.3% · -52.2% ROI28 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap17/56 fav wins · 30.4% · -12.9% ROI56 races · 63 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +20.1% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • Other4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · +56.0% ROI8 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws8/27 fav wins · 29.6% · -4.4% ROI27 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws8/30 fav wins · 26.7% · -38.1% ROI30 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws9/22 fav wins · 40.9% · +36.9% ROI22 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jim Goldie8/938.6%-55.4%
Michael Dods5/3315.2%+13.4%
John & Sean Quinn4/1822.2%+16.9%
Michael & David Easterby4/2516.0%+42.0%
Richard & Peter Fahey4/3411.8%-38.2%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jason Hart10/5817.2%+30.7%
Paul Mulrennan6/4812.5%-49.6%
Connor Beasley5/1926.3%+82.2%
David Nolan4/1330.8%+63.5%
Oisin Orr4/2020.0%+151.9%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Michael Dods

5 wins from 33 runs · 15.2% strike rate · +13.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Michael & David Easterby

4 wins from 25 runs · 16.0% strike rate · +42.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: John & Sean Quinn

4 wins from 18 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +16.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

10 wins from 58 runs · 17.2% strike rate · +30.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Oisin Orr

4 wins from 20 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +151.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Connor Beasley

5 wins from 19 runs · 26.3% strike rate · +82.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 1–7 runners

10 wins from 58 runs · 17.2% strike rate · +21.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 1–7 runners
6 · 1–7 runners

5 wins from 26 runs · 19.2% strike rate · +47.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · 6; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:45Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap Top PickMotawaaredForecast 5/1 14:20Menabrea Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses in Bands C and D) (GBB Race) Top PickSea MirageForecast 10/11 14:55Heverlee Handicap Top PickLaunch TimeForecast 5/2 15:30Tennent's Lager Handicap Top PickAnnie Edson TaylorForecast 8/1 16:05San Miguel Handicap Top PickEmpirestateofmindForecast 5/2 16:38Outcider Handicap Top PickBlufferonthebusForecast 13/2 17:13Magners Original Cider Handicap Top PickAighearForecast 5/4
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