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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Ayr Races – Thursday 8 October 2026

Thursday 8 October 2026

13:45–17:13 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed37

Favourite strike rate29.7%

Favourite place rate59.5%

Race dates 2026-09-09 to 2026-10-08. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

6f2/10 fav wins · 20.0% · -60.6% ROI10 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
7f3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · +35.4% ROI8 races · Small sample
1m1/8 fav wins · 12.5% · -72.5% ROI8 races · Small sample
1m2f4/5 fav wins · 80.0% · +180.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · +11.7% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
8–10 runners4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · +3.7% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
11+ runners3/17 fav wins · 17.6% · -43.0% ROI17 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap7/27 fav wins · 25.9% · -26.4% ROI27 races · 29 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Other3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +49.6% ROI6 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -6.4% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
Middle draws3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -45.9% ROI13 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
High draws4/11 fav wins · 36.4% · +6.6% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Jim Goldie	5/41	12.2%	-37.0%
John & Sean Quinn	4/13	30.8%	+61.8%
Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	2/5	40.0%	+165.0%
Ivan Furtado	2/7	28.6%	+57.1%
Michael & David Easterby	2/15	13.3%	+20.0%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Jason Hart	5/28	17.9%	+6.5%
David Nolan	3/9	33.3%	+91.7%
Oisin Orr	3/17	17.6%	+179.4%
Paul Mulrennan	3/19	15.8%	-28.6%
P J McDonald	2/7	28.6%	+371.4%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Tim Easterby

1 wins from 38 runs · 2.6% strike rate · +7.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn

4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +61.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Ivan Furtado

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +57.1% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

5 wins from 28 runs · 17.9% strike rate · +6.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Oisin Orr

3 wins from 17 runs · 17.6% strike rate · +179.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

2 wins from 14 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +25.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

5 · 12+ runners

1 wins from 20 runs · 5.0% strike rate · +15.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · 5; 12+ runners

7 · 1–7 runners

1 wins from 5 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +10.0% ROI

Small sample · 7; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:45Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap

Top PickMotawaaredForecast 5/1 14:20Menabrea Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses in Bands C and D) (GBB Race)

Top PickSea MirageForecast 10/11 14:55Heverlee Handicap

Top PickLaunch TimeForecast 5/2 15:30Tennent's Lager Handicap

Top PickAnnie Edson TaylorForecast 8/1 16:05San Miguel Handicap

Top PickEmpirestateofmindForecast 5/2 16:38Outcider Handicap

Top PickBlufferonthebusForecast 13/2 17:13Magners Original Cider Handicap

Top PickAighearForecast 5/4

My Picks