Worcester Races – Wednesday 21 October 2026

Wednesday 21 October 2026

13:10–17:10 · 8 races · Chases / Hurdles / National Hunt Flat

Course overview

Races analysed116

Favourite strike rate40.5%

Favourite place rate66.4%

Race dates 2026-05-22 to 2026-10-20. Settled stored results only.

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

2m18/46 fav wins · 39.1% · -14.9% ROI46 races · 51 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
2m1f3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +35.8% ROI5 races · Small sample
2m4f13/36 fav wins · 36.1% · -11.5% ROI36 races · 38 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
2m7f12/28 fav wins · 42.9% · +8.2% ROI28 races · Stronger evidence

1–7 runners24/38 fav wins · 63.2% · +29.1% ROI38 races · 40 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
8–10 runners18/59 fav wins · 30.5% · -16.2% ROI59 races · 63 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners5/19 fav wins · 26.3% · -41.9% ROI19 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Handicap34/84 fav wins · 40.5% · +0.1% ROI84 races · 91 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Maiden1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -72.2% ROI6 races · Small sample
Novice10/19 fav wins · 52.6% · -8.1% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence
Other2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -20.3% ROI7 races · 8 favourite stakes · Small sample

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Dan Skelton	12/64	18.8%	-47.9%
Olly Murphy	10/39	25.6%	+55.6%
Mickey Bowen	9/33	27.3%	-8.6%
Jonjo & A J O'Neill	8/40	20.0%	+23.7%
James Owen	4/15	26.7%	-20.8%

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Sean Bowen	18/60	30.0%	+56.6%
Harry Skelton	14/52	26.9%	-29.0%
Kielan Woods	7/25	28.0%	+92.7%
James Bowen	7/27	25.9%	+10.6%
Liam Harrison	5/19	26.3%	+855.3%

Trainer: Jonjo & A J O'Neill

8 wins from 40 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +23.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Olly Murphy

10 wins from 39 runs · 25.6% strike rate · +55.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Ben Pauling

4 wins from 16 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +185.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Sean Bowen

18 wins from 60 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +56.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: James Bowen

7 wins from 27 runs · 25.9% strike rate · +10.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Kielan Woods

7 wins from 25 runs · 28.0% strike rate · +92.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Handicap · 12+ runners

6 wins from 81 runs · 7.4% strike rate · +1.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners