Worcester Races – Wednesday 21 October 2026

Wednesday 21 October 2026

13:10–17:10 · 8 races · Chases / Hurdles / National Hunt Flat

Course overview

Races analysed50

Favourite strike rate38.0%

Favourite place rate66.0%

Race dates 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-20. Settled stored results only.

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

2m5/15 fav wins · 33.3% · -36.1% ROI15 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
2m1f3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +35.8% ROI5 races · Small sample
2m4f3/17 fav wins · 17.6% · -47.2% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
2m7f8/13 fav wins · 61.5% · +55.3% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence

1–7 runners7/13 fav wins · 53.8% · +17.8% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners8/26 fav wins · 30.8% · -10.5% ROI26 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners4/11 fav wins · 36.4% · -39.5% ROI11 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Handicap14/36 fav wins · 38.9% · -1.8% ROI36 races · 39 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Novice3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · -20.4% ROI6 races · Small sample

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Olly Murphy	8/25	32.0%	+127.5%
Mickey Bowen	7/20	35.0%	+13.9%
Dan Skelton	6/42	14.3%	-56.4%
Alex Hales	3/9	33.3%	+220.8%
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	3/11	27.3%	+10.9%

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Sean Bowen	9/29	31.0%	+97.5%
James Bowen	6/16	37.5%	+55.5%
Harry Skelton	5/26	19.2%	-39.7%
Kielan Woods	4/16	25.0%	+128.1%
Liam Harrison	3/9	33.3%	+1750.0%

Trainer: Olly Murphy

8 wins from 25 runs · 32.0% strike rate · +127.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Mickey Bowen

7 wins from 20 runs · 35.0% strike rate · +13.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +10.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Sean Bowen

9 wins from 29 runs · 31.0% strike rate · +97.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: James Bowen

6 wins from 16 runs · 37.5% strike rate · +55.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Kielan Woods

4 wins from 16 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +128.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Handicap · 12+ runners

5 wins from 68 runs · 7.4% strike rate · +14.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners