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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Bath Races – Monday 19 October 2026

Monday 19 October 2026

13:47–17:22 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed53

Favourite strike rate41.5%

Favourite place rate62.3%

Race dates 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-19. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f1/9 fav wins · 11.1% · -83.8% ROI9 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
6f5/13 fav wins · 38.5% · -1.9% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
1m8/15 fav wins · 53.3% · +36.7% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
1m2f4/6 fav wins · 66.7% · +111.9% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners8/13 fav wins · 61.5% · +23.0% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners6/19 fav wins · 31.6% · +6.6% ROI19 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
11+ runners8/21 fav wins · 38.1% · -2.6% ROI21 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

Handicap11/36 fav wins · 30.6% · -3.8% ROI36 races · 39 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Novice6/7 fav wins · 85.7% · +68.6% ROI7 races · Small sample
Other3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · +10.7% ROI7 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws9/20 fav wins · 45.0% · +26.5% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence
Middle draws6/18 fav wins · 33.3% · -19.0% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence
High draws7/17 fav wins · 41.2% · +10.2% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Tony Carroll	3/30	10.0%	-21.7%
Ralph Beckett	2/5	40.0%	-35.0%
Ian Williams	2/6	33.3%	+150.0%
Ollie Sangster	2/7	28.6%	+47.6%
Ronald Harris	2/7	28.6%	+185.7%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Jack Mitchell	5/14	35.7%	+184.5%
Tom Marquand	5/15	33.3%	+28.0%
Marco Ghiani	3/6	50.0%	+191.7%
Finley Marsh	3/27	11.1%	-73.6%
Jack Dace	2/7	28.6%	+128.6%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ronald Harris

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +185.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +47.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Ian Williams

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +150.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Tom Marquand

5 wins from 15 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +28.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

5 wins from 14 runs · 35.7% strike rate · +184.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Harry Vigors

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +193.8% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Meeting races

13:47SW Hire Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Top PickLilykoy5/2 14:17MJ Church Nursery Handicap

Top PickDreams Galore5/1 14:47Big Stage Hire Handicap

Top PickOver Spiced11/2 15:17Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBplus Race)

Top PickAl Qayed4/7 15:47Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Nursery Handicap

Top PickScrappetalene11/2 16:20DJSN Ltd Handicap

Top PickSigncastle City6/1 16:50Elite Racing Club Handicap (Div I)

Top PickSpirit Lead Me7/4 17:22Elite Racing Club Handicap (Div II)

Top PickHavana Mojito10/1

My Picks