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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Newcastle (AW) Races – Friday 16 October 2026

Friday 16 October 2026

16:08–20:15 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed52
Favourite strike rate15.4%
Favourite place rate55.8%

Race dates 2026-09-17 to 2026-10-16. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -44.7% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • 6f1/13 fav wins · 7.7% · -71.2% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 7f2/10 fav wins · 20.0% · -55.7% ROI10 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2/11 fav wins · 18.2% · -68.1% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -60.7% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +17.8% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners2/21 fav wins · 9.5% · -81.0% ROI21 races · 24 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners1/21 fav wins · 4.8% · -83.0% ROI21 races · 22 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap3/38 fav wins · 7.9% · -79.8% ROI38 races · 41 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -25.7% ROI6 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -44.9% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws4/24 fav wins · 16.7% · -52.7% ROI24 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws0/16 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Michael Appleby4/666.7%+525.0%
Bryan Smart3/1127.3%+86.4%
Phillip Makin2/540.0%+80.0%
Katie Scott2/922.2%+222.2%
Nigel Tinkler2/1118.2%+90.9%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Rowan Scott5/1729.4%+112.2%
Shane Gray4/1136.4%+304.5%
Daniel Tudhope4/1822.2%+34.7%
Paul Mulrennan3/1717.6%+14.7%
Jason Hart3/1915.8%+115.8%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Bryan Smart

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +86.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Nigel Tinkler

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +90.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Katie Scott

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +222.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +115.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

4 wins from 18 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +34.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Rowan Scott

5 wins from 17 runs · 29.4% strike rate · +112.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

10 · 12+ runners

1 wins from 14 runs · 7.1% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · 10; 12+ runners
5 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 12 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +1.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · 5; 1–7 runners
6 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +2.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · 6; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

16:08quinnbet.com Handicap Top PickJujubella9/2 16:43Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Top PickGuesstimate10/3 17:15QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickQila10/11 17:45Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling Stakes Top PickKaleido11/8 18:15Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap Top PickMedia Legend10/3 18:45Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap Top PickLeading Times9/1 19:15Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap (Div I) Top PickDream Forever10/3 19:45Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap (Div II) Top PickLanarra13/8 20:15Quaff Box Handicap Top PickKeep The Gold15/8
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