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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Nottingham Races – Wednesday 14 October 2026

Wednesday 14 October 2026

13:19–17:22 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed61
Favourite strike rate49.2%
Favourite place rate67.2%

Race dates 2026-07-17 to 2026-10-14. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +14.1% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 6f4/14 fav wins · 28.6% · -40.9% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · -10.4% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • 1m1f6/9 fav wins · 66.7% · +29.5% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 1m2f7/14 fav wins · 50.0% · +27.2% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners24/40 fav wins · 60.0% · +18.1% ROI40 races · 41 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · +3.1% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners1/7 fav wins · 14.3% · -73.8% ROI7 races · Small sample

Race categories

  • Handicap19/37 fav wins · 51.4% · +12.1% ROI37 races · 40 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · -38.4% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • Novice4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -7.5% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • Other4/7 fav wins · 57.1% · +19.5% ROI7 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws9/20 fav wins · 45.0% · +6.3% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws12/22 fav wins · 54.5% · +21.6% ROI22 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws9/20 fav wins · 45.0% · -16.5% ROI20 races · 21 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
William Haggas4/1040.0%+7.1%
Roger Varian4/1136.4%+51.9%
Ed Walker4/1330.8%-47.9%
Eve Johnson Houghton3/560.0%+260.0%
Simon & Ed Crisford2/540.0%-47.8%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ashley Lewis5/1050.0%+30.4%
Tom Marquand5/1435.7%+20.2%
Cieren Fallon3/560.0%+10.3%
Charles Bishop3/742.9%+157.1%
Jason Watson3/742.9%+82.1%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Roger Varian

4 wins from 11 runs · 36.4% strike rate · +51.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: William Haggas

4 wins from 10 runs · 40.0% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Tim Easterby

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +22.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Tom Marquand

5 wins from 14 runs · 35.7% strike rate · +20.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Marco Ghiani

1 wins from 11 runs · 9.1% strike rate · +18.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Ashley Lewis

5 wins from 10 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +30.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 12+ runners

4 wins from 56 runs · 7.1% strike rate · +3.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners
9 · 1–7 runners

9 wins from 44 runs · 20.5% strike rate · +7.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · 9; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

My Picks