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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Newcastle (AW) Races – Monday 12 October 2026

Monday 12 October 2026

16:28–20:30 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed43

Favourite strike rate16.3%

Favourite place rate55.8%

Race dates 2026-09-13 to 2026-10-12. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -64.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
6f1/13 fav wins · 7.7% · -71.2% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
7f2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -46.8% ROI8 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m2/9 fav wins · 22.2% · -61.7% ROI9 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m2f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -54.2% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · +14.4% ROI8 races · Small sample
8–10 runners2/17 fav wins · 11.8% · -77.2% ROI17 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
11+ runners1/18 fav wins · 5.6% · -80.3% ROI18 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap3/31 fav wins · 9.7% · -75.6% ROI31 races · 34 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Novice1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -63.3% ROI5 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -53.1% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
Middle draws4/20 fav wins · 20.0% · -43.7% ROI20 races · 21 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
High draws0/14 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Michael Appleby	4/5	80.0%	+650.0%
Bryan Smart	3/11	27.3%	+86.4%
Katie Scott	2/8	25.0%	+262.5%
Nigel Tinkler	2/10	20.0%	+110.0%
Ruth Carr	2/11	18.2%	-6.4%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Rowan Scott	5/17	29.4%	+112.2%
Shane Gray	3/6	50.0%	+516.7%
Daniel Tudhope	3/12	25.0%	+78.1%
Paul Mulrennan	3/17	17.6%	+14.7%
Jason Hart	3/19	15.8%	+115.8%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Bryan Smart

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +86.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +110.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Katie Scott

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +262.5% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +115.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Rowan Scott

5 wins from 17 runs · 29.4% strike rate · +112.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

3 wins from 17 runs · 17.6% strike rate · +14.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

10 · 12+ runners

1 wins from 14 runs · 7.1% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · 10; 12+ runners

6 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +2.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · 6; 1–7 runners

5 · 1–7 runners

1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +58.3% ROI

Small sample · 5; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

16:28Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Top PickElla Beach10/3 17:00Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap

Top PickEspanita9/1 17:30Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickGreat Balls O'Fire5/4 18:00Follow @attheraces On Instagram Nursery Handicap

Top PickStarburster11/4 18:30Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div I)

Top PickMae Amor11/2 19:00Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div II)

Top PickFizzy Cristal15/2 19:30Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap

Top PickAmarachi7/1 20:00Get Raceday Ready Handicap

Top PickSpartan Fighter14/1 20:30Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Top PickPiperstown17/2

My Picks