‹ Results
Meeting & Course Intelligence

Chepstow Races – Sunday 11 October 2026

Sunday 11 October 2026

13:27–16:57 · 7 races · Hurdles / National Hunt Flat

Course overview

Races analysed147
Favourite strike rate36.7%
Favourite place rate62.6%

Race dates 2026-03-26 to 2026-10-11. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f8/17 fav wins · 47.1% · +8.9% ROI17 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f4/18 fav wins · 22.2% · -49.1% ROI18 races · 22 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f6/21 fav wins · 28.6% · -26.7% ROI21 races · Stronger evidence
  • 1m5/16 fav wins · 31.2% · -29.8% ROI16 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -6.6% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4f4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · +13.1% ROI8 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 2m13/25 fav wins · 52.0% · +13.9% ROI25 races · Stronger evidence
  • 2m3f2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -21.4% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 3m4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · -4.7% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners31/75 fav wins · 41.3% · -6.0% ROI75 races · 81 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners17/45 fav wins · 37.8% · -3.0% ROI45 races · 48 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners6/27 fav wins · 22.2% · -45.3% ROI27 races · 30 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap35/97 fav wins · 36.1% · -9.0% ROI97 races · 107 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden2/17 fav wins · 11.8% · -71.8% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Novice9/18 fav wins · 50.0% · -14.8% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence
  • Other8/15 fav wins · 53.3% · +33.1% ROI15 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws8/31 fav wins · 25.8% · -27.8% ROI31 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws5/25 fav wins · 20.0% · -47.9% ROI25 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws18/42 fav wins · 42.9% · +5.7% ROI42 races · 43 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Grace Harris8/5714.0%-10.8%
David Evans5/2123.8%+69.6%
Dan Skelton5/3514.3%+76.4%
Tony Carroll4/2814.3%-39.3%
John & Rhys Flint4/2913.8%-9.7%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Sam Twiston-Davies6/1540.0%+104.4%
Ciaran Gethings5/1241.7%+209.7%
Ashley Lewis5/2718.5%+34.7%
Gina Mangan4/1526.7%-7.5%
Harry Skelton4/1625.0%+73.4%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: David Evans

5 wins from 21 runs · 23.8% strike rate · +69.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

3 wins from 17 runs · 17.6% strike rate · +108.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Joe Tizzard

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +6.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Ashley Lewis

5 wins from 27 runs · 18.5% strike rate · +34.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Taylor Fisher

4 wins from 20 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +160.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Harry Skelton

4 wins from 16 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +73.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

High draws

44 wins from 282 runs · 15.6% strike rate · +4.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population
Handicap · 12

8 wins from 50 runs · 16.0% strike rate · +57.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12
Unknown · 1–7 runners

5 wins from 23 runs · 21.7% strike rate · +60.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · Unknown; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

My Picks