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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Chepstow Races – Friday 9 October 2026

Friday 9 October 2026

13:22–17:31 · 8 races · Hurdles

Course overview

Races analysed55
Favourite strike rate32.7%
Favourite place rate61.8%

Race dates 2026-07-12 to 2026-10-09. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f6/11 fav wins · 54.5% · +18.9% ROI11 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f2/10 fav wins · 20.0% · -57.7% ROI10 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f2/10 fav wins · 20.0% · -46.3% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · +0.9% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • 1m2f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -56.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • 2m3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +56.7% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners12/30 fav wins · 40.0% · -16.5% ROI30 races · 35 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners5/16 fav wins · 31.2% · -23.3% ROI16 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners1/9 fav wins · 11.1% · -55.6% ROI9 races · Small sample

Race categories

  • Handicap10/34 fav wins · 29.4% · -24.8% ROI34 races · 38 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden1/7 fav wins · 14.3% · -80.4% ROI7 races · 8 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • Novice5/8 fav wins · 62.5% · +10.6% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • Other2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · +3.6% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws3/15 fav wins · 20.0% · -48.2% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -33.7% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws9/24 fav wins · 37.5% · -11.9% ROI24 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
David Evans5/1241.7%+196.9%
Grace Harris5/3514.3%-4.8%
John & Rhys Flint4/1921.1%+37.9%
Joe Tickle2/825.0%+37.5%
Ollie Sangster2/1020.0%+15.0%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ashley Lewis4/2020.0%+61.9%
Taylor Fisher3/1225.0%+50.0%
Edward Greatrex3/1421.4%-38.2%
Rob Hornby2/540.0%+221.2%
Pat Cosgrave2/633.3%+145.8%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: John & Rhys Flint

4 wins from 19 runs · 21.1% strike rate · +37.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: David Evans

5 wins from 12 runs · 41.7% strike rate · +196.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Ollie Sangster

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +15.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Ashley Lewis

4 wins from 20 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +61.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Taylor Fisher

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +50.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Finley Marsh

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +27.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

30 wins from 167 runs · 18.0% strike rate · +7.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Handicap · 10

5 wins from 30 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +29.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 10
19

2 wins from 26 runs · 7.7% strike rate · +3.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Distance within the selected course population

Meeting races

13:22Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I) Top PickKing's Scholar9/4 13:57Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II) Top PickDutch Corner15/8 14:32Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Top PickSeven Kites9/4 15:12DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race) Top PickCaptain Hugo5/1 15:43DragonBet Persian War Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Top PickLord Byron3/1 16:17DragonBet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle Top PickUnjeu Royal5/1 16:55LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle Top PickCodetalker10/1 17:31Alan Bushell Racing Remembers Alan Davies Mares' Handicap Hurdle Top PickReel Orange7/2
My Picks