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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Bath Races – Thursday 8 October 2026

Thursday 8 October 2026

13:30–17:25 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed51
Favourite strike rate45.1%
Favourite place rate60.8%

Race dates 2026-07-11 to 2026-10-08. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f2/9 fav wins · 22.2% · -61.3% ROI9 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 6f5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · -8.9% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m6/11 fav wins · 54.5% · +25.5% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f4/6 fav wins · 66.7% · +111.9% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 1m6f3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +20.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners11/18 fav wins · 61.1% · +26.3% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners5/16 fav wins · 31.2% · +4.4% ROI16 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners7/17 fav wins · 41.2% · -3.2% ROI17 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap13/36 fav wins · 36.1% · -1.8% ROI36 races · 39 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice5/6 fav wins · 83.3% · +69.7% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • Other3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +55.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws10/20 fav wins · 50.0% · +22.3% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws6/16 fav wins · 37.5% · -4.1% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws7/17 fav wins · 41.2% · +6.0% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Adrian Wintle4/3511.4%-74.2%
Tony Carroll3/2910.3%-19.0%
Ralph Beckett2/540.0%-35.0%
Ian Williams2/633.3%+150.0%
Ollie Sangster2/728.6%+47.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jack Mitchell5/1435.7%+184.5%
Finley Marsh4/2516.0%-64.6%
Marco Ghiani3/650.0%+191.7%
Luke Morris3/1717.6%-19.9%
Jack Dace2/728.6%+128.6%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +47.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Ian Williams

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +150.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Andrew Balding

1 wins from 5 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +40.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

5 wins from 14 runs · 35.7% strike rate · +184.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jack Dace

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +128.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Marco Ghiani

3 wins from 6 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +191.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Meeting races

13:30Your Elite Club Handicap Top PickMerrijigForecast 13/2 14:05EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickBlackberry BoldForecast 10/1 14:40MDA Consulting Ltd Handicap Top PickLittle JaybeeForecast 11/2 15:15British Stallion Studs EBF Beckford Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) (GBBPlus Race) Top PickVenetiaForecast 4/1 15:50Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses in Bands C and D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Top PickAethelstan GoldForecast 100/30 16:21Find My Hospitality Handicap (Div I) Top PickCrimson RoadForecast 7/1 16:55Find My Hospitality Handicap (Div II) Top PickZambezi MagicForecast 7/2 17:25MJ Church Fillies' Handicap Top PickCourt DriveForecast 8/1
My Picks