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Bath Races – Thursday 8 October 2026

Thursday 8 October 2026

13:30–17:25 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed31
Favourite strike rate38.7%
Favourite place rate61.3%

Race dates 2026-09-09 to 2026-10-08. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -76.9% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 6f0/6 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 1m4/9 fav wins · 44.4% · -3.1% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 1m2f4/5 fav wins · 80.0% · +147.2% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners4/5 fav wins · 80.0% · +47.3% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • 8–10 runners2/10 fav wins · 20.0% · -22.7% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners6/16 fav wins · 37.5% · -8.0% ROI16 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap6/21 fav wins · 28.6% · -14.2% ROI21 races · 24 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws6/13 fav wins · 46.2% · +16.3% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws5/12 fav wins · 41.7% · +8.0% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws1/8 fav wins · 12.5% · -51.9% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ian Williams2/540.0%+200.0%
Ralph Beckett2/540.0%-35.0%
Tony Carroll2/229.1%-38.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jack Mitchell5/1435.7%+184.5%
Marco Ghiani3/650.0%+191.7%
Jack Dace2/728.6%+128.6%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ian Williams

2 wins from 5 runs · 40.0% strike rate · +200.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

5 wins from 14 runs · 35.7% strike rate · +184.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jack Dace

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +128.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Marco Ghiani

3 wins from 6 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +191.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Meeting races

13:30Your Elite Club Handicap Top PickMerrijigForecast 13/2 14:05EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickBlackberry BoldForecast 10/1 14:40MDA Consulting Ltd Handicap Top PickLittle JaybeeForecast 11/2 15:15British Stallion Studs EBF Beckford Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) (GBBPlus Race) Top PickVenetiaForecast 4/1 15:50Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses in Bands C and D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Top PickAethelstan GoldForecast 100/30 16:21Find My Hospitality Handicap (Div I) Top PickCrimson RoadForecast 7/1 16:55Find My Hospitality Handicap (Div II) Top PickZambezi MagicForecast 7/2 17:25MJ Church Fillies' Handicap Top PickCourt DriveForecast 8/1
My Picks