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Ascot Races – Friday 2 October 2026

Friday 2 October 2026

13:50–16:45 · 6 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed53
Favourite strike rate32.1%
Favourite place rate56.6%

Race dates 2026-07-05 to 2026-10-02. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f0/5 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • 6f5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +12.1% ROI10 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f4/11 fav wins · 36.4% · +5.7% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -23.1% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4f2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -29.7% ROI8 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners7/11 fav wins · 63.6% · +45.8% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners8/25 fav wins · 32.0% · -9.7% ROI25 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners2/17 fav wins · 11.8% · -65.4% ROI17 races · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap9/36 fav wins · 25.0% · -31.6% ROI36 races · 38 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Other4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -2.3% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -25.0% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws8/22 fav wins · 36.4% · +3.6% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence
  • High draws6/22 fav wins · 27.3% · -27.5% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jamie Osborne5/862.5%+381.2%
Andrew Balding4/2516.0%+56.0%
Jane Chapple-Hyam3/1225.0%+70.8%
Ed Walker3/1520.0%-40.0%
William Haggas3/2512.0%-73.8%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Saffie Osborne6/2227.3%+84.1%
Kaiya Fraser3/560.0%+145.0%
James Doyle3/933.3%+43.1%
Ryan Moore3/933.3%+72.2%
Oisin Murphy3/1225.0%+50.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Andrew Balding

4 wins from 25 runs · 16.0% strike rate · +56.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +70.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Jamie Osborne

5 wins from 8 runs · 62.5% strike rate · +381.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

6 wins from 22 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +84.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: David Probert

2 wins from 13 runs · 15.4% strike rate · +161.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Oisin Murphy

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +50.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

11 wins from 60 runs · 18.3% strike rate · +2.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
7 · 12+ runners

3 wins from 51 runs · 5.9% strike rate · +9.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · 7; 12+ runners

Meeting races

13:50Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (For Male Amateur Riders) Top PickNorcross Brow15/2 14:25BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickLearning5/2 15:00Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes Top PickDrymee13/2 15:35BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race) Top PickInfraad4/6 16:10BetMGM Handicap Top PickYordan10/1 16:45Melbourne Cup Carnival Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Top PickShipshape17/2
My Picks