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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Ascot Races – Friday 2 October 2026

Friday 2 October 2026

13:50–16:45 · 6 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed20

Favourite strike rate35.0%

Favourite place rate45.0%

Race dates 2026-09-03 to 2026-10-02. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

7f3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +27.1% ROI6 races · Small sample
1m1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -40.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners4/6 fav wins · 66.7% · +56.1% ROI6 races · Small sample
8–10 runners1/7 fav wins · 14.3% · -71.4% ROI7 races · Small sample
11+ runners2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -16.1% ROI7 races · Small sample

Race categories

Handicap3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -35.4% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

Middle draws2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -43.2% ROI8 races · Small sample
High draws4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · +21.2% ROI8 races · Small sample

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
John & Thady Gosden	2/8	25.0%	-21.9%
William Haggas	2/10	20.0%	-63.3%
Andrew Balding	2/12	16.7%	+108.3%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
James Doyle	3/7	42.9%	+83.9%
Saffie Osborne	2/10	20.0%	+65.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Andrew Balding

2 wins from 12 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +108.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +65.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: James Doyle

3 wins from 7 runs · 42.9% strike rate · +83.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey: David Probert

1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +250.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

High draws

11 wins from 77 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +31.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population

1–7 runners

6 wins from 32 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +46.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population

Non-handicap · 1–7 runners

4 wins from 21 runs · 19.0% strike rate · +93.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Non-handicap; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:50Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (For Male Amateur Riders)

Top PickNorcross Brow15/2 14:25BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickLearning5/2 15:00Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes

Top PickDrymee13/2 15:35BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race)

Top PickInfraad4/6 16:10BetMGM Handicap

Top PickYordan10/1 16:45Melbourne Cup Carnival Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Top PickShipshape17/2