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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Salisbury Races – Thursday 1 October 2026

Thursday 1 October 2026

13:30–17:25 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed58
Favourite strike rate29.3%
Favourite place rate62.1%

Race dates 2026-07-04 to 2026-10-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 6f5/17 fav wins · 29.4% · -19.9% ROI17 races · Moderate evidence
  • 7f7/9 fav wins · 77.8% · +92.1% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 1m2/14 fav wins · 14.3% · -75.6% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f1/11 fav wins · 9.1% · -91.2% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners11/34 fav wins · 32.4% · -46.2% ROI34 races · 35 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -35.8% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners3/11 fav wins · 27.3% · -8.7% ROI11 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap5/32 fav wins · 15.6% · -54.8% ROI32 races · 34 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice9/18 fav wins · 50.0% · -1.8% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence
  • Other1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -80.0% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws1/11 fav wins · 9.1% · -83.3% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws4/14 fav wins · 28.6% · -32.6% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws10/30 fav wins · 33.3% · -23.1% ROI30 races · 32 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Ralph Beckett10/3033.3%+69.4%
Andrew Balding6/1735.3%+64.7%
Roger Varian5/771.4%+189.4%
Ed Walker3/1816.7%-56.8%
Rod Millman3/2015.0%+14.0%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Oisin Murphy7/2133.3%+15.7%
Hector Crouch7/2528.0%+38.7%
Callum Rodriguez4/1040.0%+110.0%
Kieran Shoemark4/1233.3%+202.1%
Charlie Tucker3/837.5%+475.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

10 wins from 30 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +69.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Andrew Balding

6 wins from 17 runs · 35.3% strike rate · +64.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Roger Varian

5 wins from 7 runs · 71.4% strike rate · +189.4% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Hector Crouch

7 wins from 25 runs · 28.0% strike rate · +38.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Oisin Murphy

7 wins from 21 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +15.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark

4 wins from 12 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +202.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

High draws

30 wins from 167 runs · 18.0% strike rate · +20.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population
8–11 runners

17 wins from 159 runs · 10.7% strike rate · +13.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Low draws

11 wins from 107 runs · 10.3% strike rate · +17.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population

Meeting races

13:30Salisbury Annual Badgeholders 'Bluestocking' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Top PickSomerton5/2 14:04'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I) Top PickGold Army7/4 14:39'Pyledriver' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II) Top PickKamaal11/4 15:14British EBF Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickSocial Symbol11/8 15:49Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap Top PickGeorge Wickham20/1 16:24Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div I) Top PickBnaider15/8 16:55Barbara Snow 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap (Div II) Top PickBlue Wonder13/2 17:25Madar Corporation 'Season Finale' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Top PickDialstone9/4
My Picks