Distance bands
- 5f3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -47.8% ROI13 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
- 7f2/13 fav wins · 15.4% · -62.5% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
- 1m1f2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · +3.6% ROI5 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
Musselburgh Races – Wednesday 30 September 2026
Wednesday 30 September 2026
13:38–17:08 · 7 races · Flat
Course overview
Races analysed40
Favourite strike rate25.0%
Favourite place rate65.0%
Race dates 2026-07-03 to 2026-09-30. Settled stored results only.
Course patterns
Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.
Field sizes
- 1–7 runners6/20 fav wins · 30.0% · -34.7% ROI20 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
- 8–10 runners2/14 fav wins · 14.3% · -64.4% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
- 11+ runners2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · +20.8% ROI6 races · Small sample
Race categories
- Handicap5/26 fav wins · 19.2% · -46.3% ROI26 races · 29 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
- Other3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · -7.8% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
Favourite draw bands
- Low draws3/14 fav wins · 21.4% · -26.7% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
- Middle draws3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -56.4% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
- High draws4/16 fav wins · 25.0% · -31.7% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
Leading trainers
| Name | Wins/runs | Strike rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Perratt | 4/15 | 26.7% | +16.7% |
| Tim Easterby | 3/24 | 12.5% | -25.0% |
| Edward Bethell | 2/5 | 40.0% | +70.0% |
| Philip Kirby | 2/5 | 40.0% | +180.0% |
| Ben Haslam | 2/6 | 33.3% | +150.0% |
Leading jockeys
| Name | Wins/runs | Strike rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Stott | 5/12 | 41.7% | +111.5% |
| Sam James | 5/16 | 31.2% | +206.2% |
| Jason Hart | 5/22 | 22.7% | -16.3% |
| Paul Mulrennan | 3/18 | 16.7% | -36.1% |
| Jake Dickson | 2/7 | 28.6% | +92.9% |
Course Angles
Open in Stat FinderTrainer angles
4 wins from 15 runs · 26.7% strike rate · +16.7% ROI
Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +14.3% ROI
Small sample · Course record in selected period2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +150.0% ROI
Small sample · Course record in selected periodJockey angles
5 wins from 16 runs · 31.2% strike rate · +206.2% ROI
Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period5 wins from 12 runs · 41.7% strike rate · +111.5% ROI
Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +55.0% ROI
Moderate evidence · Course record in selected periodRace-condition angles
5 wins from 29 runs · 17.2% strike rate · +22.0% ROI
Stronger evidence · 7; 1–7 runners2 wins from 25 runs · 8.0% strike rate · +8.0% ROI
Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +50.0% ROI
Small sample · 13; 1–7 runnersMeeting races
13:38British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Top PickSod Hall Lane2/13
14:13Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling Stakes
Top PickThe Stone Power7/1
14:48INVADES Day Party Handicap
Top PickMonhammer5/1
15:23Dropkicks Split The G Nursery Handicap
Top PickRock Steady Beat9/2
15:58Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap
Top PickStartling12/1
16:33Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery Handicap
Top PickCalef10/3
17:08Join Racing TV Now Handicap
Top PickRiddikulus5/2
Top PickSod Hall Lane2/13
14:13Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling Stakes
Top PickThe Stone Power7/1
14:48INVADES Day Party Handicap
Top PickMonhammer5/1
15:23Dropkicks Split The G Nursery Handicap
Top PickRock Steady Beat9/2
15:58Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap
Top PickStartling12/1
16:33Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery Handicap
Top PickCalef10/3
17:08Join Racing TV Now Handicap
Top PickRiddikulus5/2