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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Thirsk Races – Saturday 1 August 2026

Saturday 1 August 2026

13:38–16:55 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed72
Favourite strike rate27.8%
Favourite place rate56.9%

Race dates 2026-04-10 to 2026-08-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f6/17 fav wins · 35.3% · +15.2% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f4/17 fav wins · 23.5% · -27.6% ROI17 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -36.9% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4/13 fav wins · 30.8% · -39.9% ROI13 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4f2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -62.3% ROI8 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners6/19 fav wins · 31.6% · -50.2% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners7/23 fav wins · 30.4% · -21.2% ROI23 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners7/30 fav wins · 23.3% · -18.4% ROI30 races · 32 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap12/49 fav wins · 24.5% · -25.6% ROI49 races · 54 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · -5.5% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • Novice3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -63.8% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws5/15 fav wins · 33.3% · +17.6% ROI15 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws8/24 fav wins · 33.3% · -14.5% ROI24 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws3/27 fav wins · 11.1% · -82.7% ROI27 races · 28 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Kevin Ryan5/2718.5%-2.8%
Declan Carroll3/1618.8%+25.0%
Paul Midgley3/1618.8%+75.0%
Ruth Carr3/1915.8%+34.2%
Michael Dods3/496.1%-78.1%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Connor Beasley5/4112.2%-37.4%
Rossa Ryan3/742.9%+25.5%
Kevin Stott3/1421.4%-23.2%
David Nolan3/1520.0%+153.3%
P J McDonald3/1520.0%-9.3%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ruth Carr

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +34.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Paul Midgley

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +75.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Declan Carroll

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +25.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: David Nolan

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +153.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Shane Gray

2 wins from 13 runs · 15.4% strike rate · +19.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Harry Russell

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +655.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

19 wins from 102 runs · 18.6% strike rate · +59.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
12

8 wins from 53 runs · 15.1% strike rate · +3.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Distance within the selected course population

Meeting races

13:38John & Paula 25th Wedding Anniversary EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Top PickBattle FeverForecast 3/1 14:08William Hill Summer Cup Handicap Top PickJeddaalForecast 11/4 14:43Theakston Great Yorkshire Pint EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickLe SamouraiForecast 15/8 15:17Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap Top PickCanaria QueenForecast 9/1 15:47William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Top PickAsukaForecast 11/4 16:22Vision PVC Carlton Miniott Thirsk Handicap Top PickLa PeregrinaForecast 8/15 16:55John Joseph Robson Memorial Handicap Top PickNorthcliffForecast 9/2
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