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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Thirsk Races – Saturday 1 August 2026

Saturday 1 August 2026

13:38–16:55 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed49

Favourite strike rate26.5%

Favourite place rate49.0%

Race dates 2026-05-04 to 2026-08-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -23.3% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
6f3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -33.0% ROI13 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
7f3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -31.0% ROI9 races · Small sample
1m2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -59.6% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m4f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -49.7% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners5/13 fav wins · 38.5% · -37.1% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners5/17 fav wins · 29.4% · -32.5% ROI17 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
11+ runners3/19 fav wins · 15.8% · -43.5% ROI19 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap7/34 fav wins · 20.6% · -45.0% ROI34 races · 39 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Maiden3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +1.2% ROI5 races · Small sample
Novice2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -61.8% ROI8 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · +25.5% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
Middle draws5/16 fav wins · 31.2% · -41.9% ROI16 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
High draws3/21 fav wins · 14.3% · -77.9% ROI21 races · 22 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Declan Carroll	3/16	18.8%	+25.0%
Tim Easterby	3/35	8.6%	-40.6%
Grant Tuer	2/5	40.0%	+230.0%
Ed Walker	2/6	33.3%	+26.2%
Julie Camacho	2/8	25.0%	+481.2%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
George Downing	2/5	40.0%	+51.4%
Jake Dickson	2/5	40.0%	+16.0%
Oliver Stammers	2/5	40.0%	+230.0%
Rossa Ryan	2/5	40.0%	+50.0%
Sam James	2/7	28.6%	+57.1%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Declan Carroll

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +25.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Ruth Carr

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +90.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Julie Camacho

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +481.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Zak Wheatley

2 wins from 12 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +8.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Ryan Sexton

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +416.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey: David Nolan

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +133.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

7 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +17.0% ROI

Small sample · 7; 1–7 runners

6 · 1–7 runners

1 wins from 7 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +28.6% ROI

Small sample · 6; 1–7 runners

14 · 1–7 runners

1 wins from 5 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +580.0% ROI

Small sample · 14; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:38John & Paula 25th Wedding Anniversary EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Top PickBattle FeverForecast 3/1 14:08William Hill Summer Cup Handicap

Top PickJeddaalForecast 11/4 14:43Theakston Great Yorkshire Pint EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickLe SamouraiForecast 15/8 15:17Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap

Top PickCanaria QueenForecast 9/1 15:47William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap

Top PickAsukaForecast 11/4 16:22Vision PVC Carlton Miniott Thirsk Handicap

Top PickLa PeregrinaForecast 8/15 16:55John Joseph Robson Memorial Handicap

Top PickNorthcliffForecast 9/2

My Picks