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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Thursday 21 May 2026

Thursday 21 May 2026

17:23–21:00 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed109
Favourite strike rate23.9%
Favourite place rate53.2%

Race dates 2026-03-24 to 2026-05-21. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -59.1% ROI13 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -34.1% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • 7f4/18 fav wins · 22.2% · -43.4% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · +1.2% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3f1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -58.3% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 1m4f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -25.0% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 1m6f0/5 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • 2m2/12 fav wins · 16.7% · -71.1% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 2m5f3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +27.8% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 3m1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -52.5% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners14/43 fav wins · 32.6% · -26.5% ROI43 races · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners9/46 fav wins · 19.6% · -54.8% ROI46 races · 48 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners3/20 fav wins · 15.0% · -53.2% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap17/79 fav wins · 21.5% · -44.6% ROI79 races · 80 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden1/10 fav wins · 10.0% · -77.3% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Novice7/18 fav wins · 38.9% · -20.9% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -37.8% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • Middle draws2/13 fav wins · 15.4% · -66.9% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws7/22 fav wins · 31.8% · -10.2% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Marco Botti3/650.0%+56.1%
Olly Murphy3/742.9%+154.2%
Declan Carroll3/1225.0%+177.3%
Iain Jardine2/540.0%+50.0%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Sean Bowen6/1154.5%+153.1%
Connor Beasley4/1136.4%+120.0%
Hector Crouch4/1330.8%+60.1%
Oisin Orr3/742.9%+237.5%
Jason Watson3/933.3%+88.9%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Declan Carroll

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +177.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Alan Brown

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +27.8% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Olly Murphy

3 wins from 7 runs · 42.9% strike rate · +154.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Hector Crouch

4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +60.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Sean Bowen

6 wins from 11 runs · 54.5% strike rate · +153.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Connor Beasley

4 wins from 11 runs · 36.4% strike rate · +120.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 12+ runners

7 wins from 86 runs · 8.1% strike rate · +21.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners
Non-handicap · 1–7 runners

14 wins from 82 runs · 17.1% strike rate · +22.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Non-handicap; 1–7 runners
8 · 1–7 runners

6 wins from 33 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +116.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · 8; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

My Picks