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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Thursday 21 May 2026

Thursday 21 May 2026

17:23–21:00 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed57
Favourite strike rate24.6%
Favourite place rate49.1%

Race dates 2026-04-22 to 2026-05-21. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · -12.4% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 6f4/9 fav wins · 44.4% · +9.9% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 7f2/9 fav wins · 22.2% · -33.9% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 1m3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +27.9% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 2m0/7 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI7 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners5/19 fav wins · 26.3% · -45.0% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners7/25 fav wins · 28.0% · -31.4% ROI25 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners2/13 fav wins · 15.4% · -55.0% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap10/41 fav wins · 24.4% · -34.3% ROI41 races · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden0/6 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • Novice3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -37.8% ROI9 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -37.8% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • Middle draws2/13 fav wins · 15.4% · -66.9% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws7/22 fav wins · 31.8% · -10.2% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Declan Carroll3/933.3%+238.9%
Alan Brown2/728.6%+64.3%
John Mackie2/728.6%+3.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Sean Bowen3/650.0%+138.9%
Jason Watson2/540.0%+120.0%
Hollie Doyle2/633.3%+3.3%
Zak Wheatley2/633.3%+158.3%
Jack Mitchell2/728.6%+35.7%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Declan Carroll

3 wins from 9 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +238.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Alan Brown

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +64.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: John Mackie

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +3.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +35.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Sean Bowen

3 wins from 6 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +138.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Zak Wheatley

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +158.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

12+ runners

4 wins from 50 runs · 8.0% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
16 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 12 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +16.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · 16; 1–7 runners
Unknown · 1–7 runners

1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +8.3% ROI

Small sample · Unknown; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

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