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Ascot Races – Saturday 17 October 2026

Saturday 17 October 2026

12:55–16:35 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed53
Favourite strike rate28.3%
Favourite place rate54.7%

Race dates 2026-07-20 to 2026-10-17. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f0/6 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 6f5/11 fav wins · 45.5% · +5.6% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f5/11 fav wins · 45.5% · +24.8% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m1/10 fav wins · 10.0% · -72.7% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4f1/8 fav wins · 12.5% · -62.5% ROI8 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners5/9 fav wins · 55.6% · +29.1% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 8–10 runners6/21 fav wins · 28.6% · -24.5% ROI21 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners4/23 fav wins · 17.4% · -56.2% ROI23 races · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap5/29 fav wins · 17.2% · -55.6% ROI29 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Other6/18 fav wins · 33.3% · -20.5% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -25.0% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws6/17 fav wins · 35.3% · -11.1% ROI17 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws5/23 fav wins · 21.7% · -44.8% ROI23 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
John & Thady Gosden5/1729.4%+97.6%
Andrew Balding5/3016.7%+143.3%
Jamie Osborne4/1136.4%+195.5%
William Haggas4/3511.4%-59.5%
Charlie Appleby3/933.3%+55.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Saffie Osborne6/2524.0%+62.0%
Billy Loughnane5/1533.3%+35.7%
William Buick5/2321.7%+49.5%
Ryan Moore4/1526.7%+43.3%
James Doyle3/1421.4%-8.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Andrew Balding

5 wins from 30 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +143.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

5 wins from 17 runs · 29.4% strike rate · +97.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Jamie Osborne

4 wins from 11 runs · 36.4% strike rate · +195.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

6 wins from 25 runs · 24.0% strike rate · +62.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: William Buick

5 wins from 23 runs · 21.7% strike rate · +49.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Billy Loughnane

5 wins from 15 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +35.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

9 wins from 47 runs · 19.1% strike rate · +29.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
16

4 wins from 29 runs · 13.8% strike rate · +72.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Distance within the selected course population

Meeting races

12:55Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickArapaho Gold5/2 13:30Qatar Racing British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 1) Top PickGregory10/3 14:05Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Top PickAlmeraq11/8 14:40Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Top PickKalpana11/10 15:20Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1) Top PickTalk Of New York7/2 16:00Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1) Top PickOmbudsman13/8 16:35Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) Top PickGavriel4/1
My Picks