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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Thursday 15 October 2026

Thursday 15 October 2026

16:30–20:30 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed92
Favourite strike rate41.3%
Favourite place rate62.0%

Race dates 2026-09-16 to 2026-10-15. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f4/13 fav wins · 30.8% · -6.1% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 6f5/12 fav wins · 41.7% · +16.3% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f7/18 fav wins · 38.9% · -0.2% ROI18 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m7/18 fav wins · 38.9% · +8.2% ROI18 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3f4/7 fav wins · 57.1% · +26.0% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 2m5/7 fav wins · 71.4% · +25.8% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 2m4f0/5 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners10/25 fav wins · 40.0% · -15.4% ROI25 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners15/29 fav wins · 51.7% · +33.0% ROI29 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners13/38 fav wins · 34.2% · -0.9% ROI38 races · 40 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap26/63 fav wins · 41.3% · +12.2% ROI63 races · 67 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden4/9 fav wins · 44.4% · -26.7% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • Novice4/11 fav wins · 36.4% · -18.1% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Other4/9 fav wins · 44.4% · +25.4% ROI9 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws9/22 fav wins · 40.9% · +22.3% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws9/28 fav wins · 32.1% · -16.0% ROI28 races · Stronger evidence
  • High draws14/33 fav wins · 42.4% · +16.8% ROI33 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Michael Herrington4/1040.0%+83.8%
Marco Botti4/1136.4%+151.1%
Michael Appleby4/1822.2%+66.7%
Iain Jardine2/540.0%+130.0%
Dylan Cunha2/728.6%-5.4%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Darragh Keenan5/2817.9%+32.6%
Lewis Edmunds3/1520.0%+83.3%
Daniel Muscutt3/1618.8%-3.1%
Rob Hornby3/1915.8%+23.7%
Jack Callan3/2213.6%-55.9%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Michael Appleby

4 wins from 18 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +66.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Marco Botti

4 wins from 11 runs · 36.4% strike rate · +151.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Michael Herrington

4 wins from 10 runs · 40.0% strike rate · +83.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

5 wins from 28 runs · 17.9% strike rate · +32.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Rob Hornby

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +23.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +83.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

5 · 1–7 runners

5 wins from 33 runs · 15.2% strike rate · +19.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · 5; 1–7 runners
20 · 1–7 runners

4 wins from 18 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +6.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · 20; 1–7 runners
Non-handicap · 5

2 wins from 14 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +3.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Non-handicap; 5

Meeting races

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