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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Saturday 10 October 2026

Saturday 10 October 2026

16:10–20:30 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed76
Favourite strike rate36.8%
Favourite place rate60.5%

Race dates 2026-09-11 to 2026-10-10. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · +1.7% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 6f3/10 fav wins · 30.0% · -10.2% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f5/16 fav wins · 31.2% · -26.0% ROI16 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m6/15 fav wins · 40.0% · +19.1% ROI15 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3f3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +13.7% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners5/18 fav wins · 27.8% · -39.7% ROI18 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners12/26 fav wins · 46.2% · +23.5% ROI26 races · 28 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners11/32 fav wins · 34.4% · -2.1% ROI32 races · 34 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap20/52 fav wins · 38.5% · +4.9% ROI52 races · 55 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -75.9% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • Novice4/11 fav wins · 36.4% · -18.1% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Other3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · +39.3% ROI7 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws8/21 fav wins · 38.1% · +15.7% ROI21 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws8/26 fav wins · 30.8% · -19.2% ROI26 races · Stronger evidence
  • High draws10/27 fav wins · 37.0% · +6.1% ROI27 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Michael Herrington4/850.0%+129.7%
Marco Botti4/944.4%+206.9%
Michael Appleby4/1723.5%+76.5%
Dylan Cunha2/633.3%+10.4%
John & Thady Gosden2/633.3%+40.7%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Darragh Keenan5/2520.0%+48.5%
Lewis Edmunds3/1323.1%+111.5%
Daniel Muscutt3/1618.8%-3.1%
Rob Hornby3/1915.8%+23.7%
Rossa Ryan2/540.0%+170.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Michael Appleby

4 wins from 17 runs · 23.5% strike rate · +76.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Marco Botti

4 wins from 9 runs · 44.4% strike rate · +206.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Clive Cox

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +2.8% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

5 wins from 25 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +48.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Rob Hornby

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +23.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

3 wins from 13 runs · 23.1% strike rate · +111.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 1–7 runners

14 wins from 81 runs · 17.3% strike rate · +3.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 1–7 runners
5 · 1–7 runners

5 wins from 33 runs · 15.2% strike rate · +19.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · 5; 1–7 runners
20 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 14 runs · 21.4% strike rate · +9.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · 20; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

16:10Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap Top PickPotters Prince9/2 16:45Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap Top PickR P McMurphy5/1 17:20Britvic Biergarten Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickRuby Sands5/2 17:55Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickCercis25/1 18:30Pepsi Max Handicap (Div I) Top PickGo Lockers Go9/2 19:00Pepsi Max Handicap (Div II) Top PickToptime8/1 19:30Pilsner To The Post Handicap Top PickStar Noir15/2 20:00Beerly A Winner Handicap Top PickRoker Roar8/1 20:30Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap Top PickFlightofthephoenix7/1
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