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Kempton (AW) Races – Friday 9 October 2026

Friday 9 October 2026

16:05–20:15 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed52
Favourite strike rate50.0%
Favourite place rate76.9%

Race dates 2026-09-10 to 2026-10-09. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 6f9/13 fav wins · 69.2% · +44.5% ROI13 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f8/11 fav wins · 72.7% · +90.9% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m6/17 fav wins · 35.3% · -6.1% ROI17 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · +29.2% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -35.1% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • 8–10 runners14/29 fav wins · 48.3% · +11.6% ROI29 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners10/18 fav wins · 55.6% · +60.9% ROI18 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap16/32 fav wins · 50.0% · +39.4% ROI32 races · 35 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · -36.5% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws13/24 fav wins · 54.2% · +43.8% ROI24 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws6/18 fav wins · 33.3% · -10.6% ROI18 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • High draws7/14 fav wins · 50.0% · +43.7% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Charlie Appleby3/560.0%+41.4%
George Boughey3/933.3%-16.1%
Stuart Williams2/540.0%+540.0%
Hugo Palmer2/633.3%+13.3%
Clive Cox2/922.2%-8.3%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Billy Loughnane7/2924.1%-29.1%
William Buick4/850.0%+81.6%
Oisin Murphy4/1625.0%-47.1%
Harry Davies3/1030.0%+10.0%
Sean Levey3/2015.0%-25.8%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +13.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Charlie Appleby

3 wins from 5 runs · 60.0% strike rate · +41.4% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Stuart Williams

2 wins from 5 runs · 40.0% strike rate · +540.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Harry Davies

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +10.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +35.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: William Buick

4 wins from 8 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +81.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Low draws

20 wins from 143 runs · 14.0% strike rate · +21.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population
1–7 runners

5 wins from 29 runs · 17.2% strike rate · +165.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Handicap · 16

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +10.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Handicap; 16

Meeting races

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