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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Tuesday 6 October 2026

Tuesday 6 October 2026

16:55–20:30 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed58
Favourite strike rate36.2%
Favourite place rate62.1%

Race dates 2026-09-07 to 2026-10-06. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · +22.1% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 6f2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -12.5% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 7f4/13 fav wins · 30.8% · -30.1% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -11.4% ROI9 races · 11 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 1m3f2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -13.6% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners4/13 fav wins · 30.8% · -35.8% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners9/22 fav wins · 40.9% · +6.1% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners8/23 fav wins · 34.8% · -6.9% ROI23 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap16/42 fav wins · 38.1% · -1.9% ROI42 races · 44 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -71.1% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • Novice2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -52.1% ROI8 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws6/15 fav wins · 40.0% · +15.3% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws5/19 fav wins · 26.3% · -38.1% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws8/20 fav wins · 40.0% · +5.7% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Michael Herrington4/850.0%+129.7%
Michael Appleby4/1330.8%+130.8%
John & Thady Gosden2/540.0%+68.9%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Darragh Keenan5/1729.4%+118.4%
Lewis Edmunds3/1323.1%+111.5%
Rob Hornby3/1520.0%+56.7%
Daniel Muscutt3/1618.8%-3.1%
Andrew Mullen2/540.0%+220.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Michael Appleby

4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +130.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Michael Herrington

4 wins from 8 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +129.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Tim Easterby

1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +8.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

5 wins from 17 runs · 29.4% strike rate · +118.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Rob Hornby

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +56.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

3 wins from 13 runs · 23.1% strike rate · +111.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

20 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 14 runs · 21.4% strike rate · +9.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · 20; 1–7 runners
Non-handicap · 5

2 wins from 14 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +3.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Non-handicap; 5
Non-handicap · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +8.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Non-handicap; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

16:55bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Top PickZafaan6/5 17:30bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (GBB Race) Top PickJahami11/4 18:00bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap Top PickKorbut4/1 18:30bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickGeometry11/1 19:00bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap Top PickInsuspense2/1 19:30bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap Top PickJungle Dance16/1 20:00bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Top PickAffettuoso8/11 20:30bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap Top PickHe's Our Cracker9/4
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