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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Saturday 3 October 2026

Saturday 3 October 2026

16:45–20:30 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed50
Favourite strike rate40.0%
Favourite place rate64.0%

Race dates 2026-09-04 to 2026-10-03. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · +9.3% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 6f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · +2.1% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 7f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -9.2% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -11.4% ROI9 races · 11 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · -30.4% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners9/19 fav wins · 47.4% · +22.8% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners7/19 fav wins · 36.8% · -0.5% ROI19 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap15/36 fav wins · 41.7% · +7.4% ROI36 races · 38 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -45.2% ROI7 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · +23.5% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws5/17 fav wins · 29.4% · -30.8% ROI17 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws7/15 fav wins · 46.7% · +25.2% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Michael Herrington4/757.1%+162.5%
Michael Appleby3/1030.0%+80.0%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Darragh Keenan5/1631.2%+132.0%
Lewis Edmunds3/1323.1%+111.5%
Rossa Ryan2/540.0%+170.0%
Jack Doughty2/633.3%+61.7%
Jack Mitchell2/633.3%+66.7%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Michael Appleby

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +80.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Michael Herrington

4 wins from 7 runs · 57.1% strike rate · +162.5% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Tim Easterby

1 wins from 5 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +30.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

5 wins from 16 runs · 31.2% strike rate · +132.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

3 wins from 13 runs · 23.1% strike rate · +111.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jack Mitchell

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +66.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

20 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 14 runs · 21.4% strike rate · +9.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · 20; 1–7 runners
Non-handicap · 5

2 wins from 14 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +3.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Non-handicap; 5
Non-handicap · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +8.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Non-handicap; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

16:45bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap Top PickCaptain Cairney9/4 17:20bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap Top PickPrince Kameo4/1 17:55bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Top PickWid3/1 18:30bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C and D) (GBB Race) Top PickDontworryaboutme11/10 19:00bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickHozam10/1 19:30bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap Top PickHorace Wallace9/2 20:00bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Top PickToptime4/1 20:30bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap Top PickBlue Tulip5/4
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