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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Fontwell Races – Saturday 3 October 2026

Saturday 3 October 2026

14:02–17:35 · 7 races · Chases / Hurdles

Course overview

Races analysed69
Favourite strike rate30.4%
Favourite place rate55.1%

Race dates 2026-03-27 to 2026-10-03. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 1m1/7 fav wins · 14.3% · -73.8% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 2m2f7/19 fav wins · 36.8% · -10.2% ROI19 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 2m3f3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -50.2% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 2m4f1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -56.2% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • 2m6f6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · -11.3% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 3m2f3/10 fav wins · 30.0% · -28.0% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners13/43 fav wins · 30.2% · -34.6% ROI43 races · 44 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners5/19 fav wins · 26.3% · -26.3% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · -18.3% ROI7 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample

Race categories

  • Handicap13/52 fav wins · 25.0% · -36.4% ROI52 races · 54 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · -10.1% ROI6 races · Small sample
  • Novice4/7 fav wins · 57.1% · -10.8% ROI7 races · 8 favourite stakes · Small sample

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Dan Skelton5/1145.5%+32.2%
Henrietta C Knight5/1435.7%+57.4%
Harry Fry3/560.0%+82.0%
Jonjo & A J O'Neill3/1127.3%+72.7%
Neil Mulholland3/2711.1%-38.9%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Harry Skelton4/1136.4%+22.0%
Ben Jones4/1330.8%-7.1%
Bryan Carver4/2020.0%-31.0%
Chad Bament3/560.0%+216.0%
Gavin Sheehan3/742.9%+100.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Henrietta C Knight

5 wins from 14 runs · 35.7% strike rate · +57.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Dan Skelton

5 wins from 11 runs · 45.5% strike rate · +32.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Jonjo & A J O'Neill

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +72.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Harry Skelton

4 wins from 11 runs · 36.4% strike rate · +22.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Brendan Powell

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +31.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jonathan Burke

3 wins from 8 runs · 37.5% strike rate · +6.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

43 wins from 230 runs · 18.7% strike rate · +2.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
19 · 8–11 runners

4 wins from 35 runs · 11.4% strike rate · +17.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · 19; 8–11 runners

Meeting races

14:02KSR Lighting Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase Top PickBroadway Honey2/1 14:37Finbarr O'Sullivan 21st Carpe Diem Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Top PickEben Zaabeel7/4 15:10Nick Peacock Eighty Shades Of Grey Birthday Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Top PickSalkadan10/11 15:45Colin Johnson's 70th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB) Top PickMove With The Beat11/4 16:25KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap Hurdle Top PickBirthday Angel5/2 17:00Southern Cranes And Access Handicap Hurdle Top PickMr McWhinny11/4 17:35KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Top PickNo Mean Feat7/2
My Picks