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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Newcastle (AW) Races – Friday 2 October 2026

Friday 2 October 2026

16:05–20:15 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed52

Favourite strike rate32.7%

Favourite place rate69.2%

Race dates 2026-09-03 to 2026-10-02. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -56.4% ROI7 races · Small sample
6f2/12 fav wins · 16.7% · -52.9% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
7f4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · -25.6% ROI12 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
1m3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · -29.6% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m2f3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +6.3% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m4f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -10.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners9/14 fav wins · 64.3% · +19.8% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners6/24 fav wins · 25.0% · -37.4% ROI24 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners2/14 fav wins · 14.3% · -57.8% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap11/39 fav wins · 28.2% · -29.7% ROI39 races · 43 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Novice4/7 fav wins · 57.1% · -5.3% ROI7 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws6/16 fav wins · 37.5% · -15.7% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
Middle draws4/20 fav wins · 20.0% · -55.6% ROI20 races · 21 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
High draws7/20 fav wins · 35.0% · -11.9% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Bryan Smart	3/15	20.0%	+36.7%
Antony Brittain	3/16	18.8%	+520.3%
Kevin Ryan	2/9	22.2%	+38.9%
Charlie Johnston	2/10	20.0%	+12.5%
Ruth Carr	2/10	20.0%	+3.0%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Rowan Scott	6/22	27.3%	+79.9%
Connor Beasley	4/16	25.0%	-8.9%
Robert Havlin	3/6	50.0%	+115.7%
Shane Gray	3/9	33.3%	+311.1%
Paul Mulrennan	3/22	13.6%	-11.4%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Antony Brittain

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +520.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Bryan Smart

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +36.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +47.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Rowan Scott

6 wins from 22 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +79.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Cam Hardie

1 wins from 18 runs · 5.6% strike rate · +350.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Ethan Tindall

2 wins from 12 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +52.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

10 · 12+ runners

1 wins from 14 runs · 7.1% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · 10; 12+ runners

Meeting races

16:05Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div I)

Top PickKoko Blue15/8 16:40Henry Malone 1926 Handicap (Div II)

Top PickKameel6/1 17:15H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery Handicap

Top PickPerfect Hope9/2 17:45Aalberts Integrated Piping Systems Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickNoozhaa5/4 18:15Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickAsheyra6/5 18:45Armah Switchgear Handicap

Top PickFinn Ironside3/1 19:15Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap

Top PickLanarra5/1 19:45H. Malone Mechanical & Electrical Handicap

Top PickKing Sharja7/1 20:15Pipes Vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap

Top PickGet Up Everybody11/4

My Picks