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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Newcastle (AW) Races – Thursday 1 October 2026

Thursday 1 October 2026

17:00–20:30 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed16

Favourite strike rate12.5%

Favourite place rate50.0%

Race dates 2026-09-25 to 2026-10-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Field sizes

8–10 runners1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -70.0% ROI6 races · Small sample
11+ runners0/7 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI7 races · Small sample

Race categories

Handicap1/12 fav wins · 8.3% · -85.0% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

Low draws2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -24.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
Middle draws0/6 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI6 races · Small sample
High draws0/5 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Shane Gray	3/5	60.0%	+640.0%
Rowan Scott	3/10	30.0%	+190.0%
Paul Mulrennan	2/11	18.2%	+36.4%
Jason Hart	1/5	20.0%	+20.0%
Andrew Mullen	1/6	16.7%	-16.7%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler

1 wins from 5 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +140.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Katie Scott

1 wins from 5 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +20.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +36.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Rowan Scott

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +190.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Shane Gray

3 wins from 5 runs · 60.0% strike rate · +640.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +18.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Field size within the selected course population

10 · 12+ runners

1 wins from 14 runs · 7.1% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · 10; 12+ runners

Meeting races

17:00Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap

Top PickL'Eagle Aid5/2 17:30Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Top PickNight Of Gold9/4 18:00Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Nursery Handicap

Top PickBlake's Monarch11/2 18:30Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap

Top PickDalamara5/1 19:00Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap

Top PickLady Kodiac3/1 19:30Get Raceday Ready Handicap

Top PickEspanita13/8 20:00Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Top PickSergeant Mayer4/1 20:30Follow @attheraces On X Handicap

Top PickLittle Ted11/2