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Bellewstown Races – Thursday 1 October 2026

Thursday 1 October 2026

13:00–17:05 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed57
Favourite strike rate29.8%
Favourite place rate63.2%

Race dates 2026-04-11 to 2026-10-01. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · +46.9% ROI10 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m5/18 fav wins · 27.8% · -0.8% ROI18 races · 21 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4f2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · +18.2% ROI5 races · Small sample
  • 2m1f3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -31.3% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 2m5f0/6 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners3/10 fav wins · 30.0% · -45.9% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners6/11 fav wins · 54.5% · +27.7% ROI11 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners8/36 fav wins · 22.2% · +0.9% ROI36 races · 39 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap9/32 fav wins · 28.1% · +21.3% ROI32 races · 36 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden6/17 fav wins · 35.3% · -21.6% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Other1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -68.2% ROI6 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · +4.1% ROI9 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • Middle draws5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +38.8% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -12.9% ROI13 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Gavin Cromwell5/2619.2%-7.0%
Joseph Patrick O'Brien4/1723.5%-28.5%
E D Delany3/837.5%+550.0%
A J Martin2/633.3%+83.3%
G M Lyons2/728.6%+12.5%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Leigh Roche3/837.5%+543.8%
Daniel King3/933.3%+116.7%
James Ryan3/1520.0%+60.0%
Ben Coen3/1618.8%-25.0%
Colin Keane3/1618.8%-3.9%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Patrick Magee

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +59.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: E D Delany

3 wins from 8 runs · 37.5% strike rate · +550.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: G M Lyons

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +12.5% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: James Ryan

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +60.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Daniel King

3 wins from 9 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +116.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Leigh Roche

3 wins from 8 runs · 37.5% strike rate · +543.8% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Non-handicap · 5

4 wins from 32 runs · 12.5% strike rate · +4.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · Non-handicap; 5
Handicap · 1–7 runners

4 wins from 21 runs · 19.0% strike rate · +7.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 1–7 runners
5 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 18 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +41.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · 5; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:00Racing TV Nursery Handicap Top PickCromane7/4 13:35Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden Top PickTax Me Later11/8 14:10Bluegrass Horse Feed Handicap Top PickNephin Mountain4/1 14:45Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Top PickAquilla Star5/2 15:20Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap Top PickSteel Magnolia9/4 15:55Racecard Top PickAbbotsford13/8 16:30BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I) Top PickLily Parr3/1 17:05BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II) Top PickAcanto4/1
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