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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Ayr Races – Tuesday 29 September 2026

Tuesday 29 September 2026

14:08–17:13 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed80

Favourite strike rate31.2%

Favourite place rate57.5%

Race dates 2026-07-02 to 2026-09-29. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f0/7 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI7 races · Small sample
6f5/20 fav wins · 25.0% · -40.3% ROI20 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
7f5/16 fav wins · 31.2% · -7.1% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
1m7/16 fav wins · 43.8% · +34.4% ROI16 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
1m2f8/16 fav wins · 50.0% · +66.0% ROI16 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

1–7 runners7/18 fav wins · 38.9% · -16.4% ROI18 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners14/32 fav wins · 43.8% · +43.7% ROI32 races · 34 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners4/30 fav wins · 13.3% · -51.2% ROI30 races · 35 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

Handicap17/61 fav wins · 27.9% · -13.8% ROI61 races · 70 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Maiden1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -61.8% ROI5 races · Small sample
Novice2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -15.8% ROI5 races · Small sample
Other5/9 fav wins · 55.6% · +80.3% ROI9 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws9/29 fav wins · 31.0% · +1.1% ROI29 races · 30 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Middle draws6/31 fav wins · 19.4% · -50.4% ROI31 races · Stronger evidence
High draws10/27 fav wins · 37.0% · +32.1% ROI27 races · 28 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Jim Goldie	9/110	8.2%	-49.9%
Michael Dods	5/41	12.2%	-8.8%
John & Sean Quinn	4/15	26.7%	+40.2%
Ewan Whillans	4/21	19.0%	+54.8%
Richard & Peter Fahey	4/30	13.3%	-30.0%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Jason Hart	9/54	16.7%	+34.9%
Paul Mulrennan	7/55	12.7%	-33.0%
David Nolan	5/16	31.2%	+82.8%
Connor Beasley	5/23	21.7%	+46.2%
Oisin Orr	4/16	25.0%	+214.8%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Tim Easterby

2 wins from 42 runs · 4.8% strike rate · +17.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Ewan Whillans

4 wins from 21 runs · 19.0% strike rate · +54.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Trainer: John & Sean Quinn

4 wins from 15 runs · 26.7% strike rate · +40.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

9 wins from 54 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +34.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Connor Beasley

5 wins from 23 runs · 21.7% strike rate · +46.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: David Nolan

5 wins from 16 runs · 31.2% strike rate · +82.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 1–7 runners

10 wins from 60 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +21.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 1–7 runners

6 · 1–7 runners

5 wins from 23 runs · 21.7% strike rate · +67.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · 6; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

14:08Christmas Party Day Dancing @Ayr Racecourse Apprentice Handicap

Top PickMotawaared9/4 14:38Weddings At Western House Hotel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickWhat A Girl Wants9/4 15:08Nairns's Oatcakes Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Top PickStar Cast10/3 15:38Autumn Breaks At Western House Hotel Handicap

Top PickHomestrait6/1 16:08Book Your Event At Ayr Racecourse Handicap

Top PickLope Y Linda9/1 16:40Book Racing On Saturday 31 October Handicap

Top PickBelsito8/1 17:13Racing TV Handicap

Top PickTime Turner2/1

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