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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Newcastle (AW) Races – Friday 25 September 2026

Friday 25 September 2026

16:35–20:15 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed65
Favourite strike rate36.9%
Favourite place rate69.2%

Race dates 2026-06-28 to 2026-09-25. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · +0.5% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -43.3% ROI15 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · -15.4% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m1/9 fav wins · 11.1% · -75.0% ROI9 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 1m2f5/8 fav wins · 62.5% · +56.3% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 1m4f2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · +42.5% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners8/12 fav wins · 66.7% · +27.6% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners10/27 fav wins · 37.0% · -14.6% ROI27 races · 29 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners6/26 fav wins · 23.1% · -26.3% ROI26 races · 28 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap16/47 fav wins · 34.0% · -6.4% ROI47 races · 51 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice6/11 fav wins · 54.5% · -19.0% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • Other1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -50.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws4/17 fav wins · 23.5% · -43.2% ROI17 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws7/24 fav wins · 29.2% · -37.9% ROI24 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws13/26 fav wins · 50.0% · +34.3% ROI26 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Antony Brittain4/1921.1%+459.2%
Kevin Ryan3/1127.3%+24.1%
Linda Perratt3/1127.3%+240.9%
Bryan Smart3/1323.1%+65.4%
Charlie Johnston2/540.0%+125.0%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Rowan Scott4/1625.0%+16.1%
Connor Beasley3/650.0%+70.8%
Oisin Orr3/1030.0%+67.5%
Ethan Tindall3/1421.4%+80.4%
Jack Mitchell2/540.0%+22.7%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Antony Brittain

4 wins from 19 runs · 21.1% strike rate · +459.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Bryan Smart

3 wins from 13 runs · 23.1% strike rate · +65.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Linda Perratt

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +240.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Rowan Scott

4 wins from 16 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +16.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Ethan Tindall

3 wins from 14 runs · 21.4% strike rate · +80.4% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Oisin Orr

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +67.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Meeting races

16:35Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap Top PickRubellite7/2 17:10Esh Stantec Handicap Top PickGemini Man7/1 17:45MMB Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickBrash11/4 18:15United Infrastructure EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qual') (GBB Race) Top PickArenite9/2 18:45Selwood Handicap Top PickInvincible Crown5/4 19:15MWH Treatment Handicap Top PickBarleybrown10/3 19:45Today's Wonderful Sponsors Handicap Top PickAnthropologist14/1 20:15Northumbrian Wateraid Sprint Handicap Top PickUncle Sam15/2
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