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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Chester Races – Saturday 19 September 2026

Saturday 19 September 2026

14:00–17:25 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed109
Favourite strike rate44.0%
Favourite place rate72.5%

Race dates 2026-05-06 to 2026-09-19. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f6/12 fav wins · 50.0% · +47.4% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f9/22 fav wins · 40.9% · -8.7% ROI22 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 7f7/20 fav wins · 35.0% · +1.0% ROI20 races · 21 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 1m7/14 fav wins · 50.0% · +28.6% ROI14 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3f9/14 fav wins · 64.3% · +75.9% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m5f3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -3.1% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 2m2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -31.0% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners14/30 fav wins · 46.7% · -11.7% ROI30 races · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners24/48 fav wins · 50.0% · +45.6% ROI48 races · 54 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners10/31 fav wins · 32.3% · -5.0% ROI31 races · 36 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap31/72 fav wins · 43.1% · +23.4% ROI72 races · 81 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden6/10 fav wins · 60.0% · +11.3% ROI10 races · 11 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Novice2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -50.9% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • Other9/19 fav wins · 47.4% · +19.6% ROI19 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws23/52 fav wins · 44.2% · +21.7% ROI52 races · 54 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws17/42 fav wins · 40.5% · +19.4% ROI42 races · 44 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws8/21 fav wins · 38.1% · -4.2% ROI21 races · 22 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Andrew Balding12/5123.5%-11.2%
Hugo Palmer8/6212.9%-42.2%
Ian Williams7/3917.9%+38.5%
Jennie Candlish6/3616.7%+69.4%
A P O'Brien5/955.6%+1.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Oisin Murphy10/2737.0%+27.7%
Hector Crouch7/2528.0%+92.0%
David Probert7/3420.6%+5.8%
Ryan Moore5/771.4%+30.6%
Ashley Lewis5/1338.5%+398.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ian Williams

7 wins from 39 runs · 17.9% strike rate · +38.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Jennie Candlish

6 wins from 36 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +69.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: David Evans

3 wins from 17 runs · 17.6% strike rate · +52.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: David Probert

7 wins from 34 runs · 20.6% strike rate · +5.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Oisin Murphy

10 wins from 27 runs · 37.0% strike rate · +27.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Hector Crouch

7 wins from 25 runs · 28.0% strike rate · +92.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Handicap · 1–7 runners

11 wins from 69 runs · 15.9% strike rate · +49.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 1–7 runners
5 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +52.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · 5; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

My Picks