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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Ayr Races – Friday 18 September 2026

Friday 18 September 2026

13:20–17:20 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed66
Favourite strike rate30.3%
Favourite place rate54.5%

Race dates 2026-06-21 to 2026-09-18. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f0/7 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 6f4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -29.5% ROI15 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · -12.2% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · +37.5% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · +39.8% ROI14 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners5/13 fav wins · 38.5% · -25.1% ROI13 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners12/27 fav wins · 44.4% · +48.0% ROI27 races · 29 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners3/26 fav wins · 11.5% · -57.5% ROI26 races · 30 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap14/51 fav wins · 27.5% · -15.2% ROI51 races · 59 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Other3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · +53.6% ROI7 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws6/24 fav wins · 25.0% · -19.9% ROI24 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws6/23 fav wins · 26.1% · -33.2% ROI23 races · Stronger evidence
  • High draws8/25 fav wins · 32.0% · +21.2% ROI25 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jim Goldie8/988.2%-47.3%
Michael Dods5/3613.9%+3.9%
Ewan Whillans4/2020.0%+62.5%
Richard & Peter Fahey4/2416.7%-12.5%
Iain Jardine3/378.1%-48.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jason Hart8/4517.8%+52.2%
Paul Mulrennan6/4812.5%-30.5%
David Nolan4/1428.6%+82.1%
Connor Beasley4/1921.1%+42.8%
Clifford Lee3/1915.8%+33.3%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ewan Whillans

4 wins from 20 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +62.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: John & Sean Quinn

2 wins from 11 runs · 18.2% strike rate · +31.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Richard Spencer

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +8.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

8 wins from 45 runs · 17.8% strike rate · +52.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Connor Beasley

4 wins from 19 runs · 21.1% strike rate · +42.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Clifford Lee

3 wins from 19 runs · 15.8% strike rate · +33.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

6 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +179.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · 6; 1–7 runners
13 · 1–7 runners

1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +116.7% ROI

Small sample · 13; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:20Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery Handicap Top PickDiplomata13/8 13:55Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery Handicap Top PickDontlookanyfurther15/8 14:30British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed Race) Top PickHickory Lad7/4 15:05Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Top PickBeautiful Diamond7/4 15:40Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap No stored prediction 16:15Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div I) Top PickGlorious Kitty6/1 16:45Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div II) Top PickIce Cube2/1 17:20Slater Menswear Handicap Top PickCascade Hall5/6
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