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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Yarmouth Races – Wednesday 16 September 2026

Wednesday 16 September 2026

13:56–17:15 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed76
Favourite strike rate40.8%
Favourite place rate63.2%

Race dates 2026-06-19 to 2026-09-16. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +19.9% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 6f7/15 fav wins · 46.7% · +4.9% ROI15 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 7f4/19 fav wins · 21.1% · -61.5% ROI19 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m7/12 fav wins · 58.3% · +17.1% ROI12 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -10.7% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • 1m4f3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +24.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners23/52 fav wins · 44.2% · -8.9% ROI52 races · 56 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners7/18 fav wins · 38.9% · -3.9% ROI18 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners1/6 fav wins · 16.7% · -50.0% ROI6 races · Small sample

Race categories

  • Handicap19/44 fav wins · 43.2% · +1.6% ROI44 races · 49 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · -13.5% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • Novice5/11 fav wins · 45.5% · -35.8% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • Other4/14 fav wins · 28.6% · -33.3% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws8/21 fav wins · 38.1% · -14.5% ROI21 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws10/30 fav wins · 33.3% · -29.7% ROI30 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws13/29 fav wins · 44.8% · +12.1% ROI29 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
William Knight4/1330.8%-24.7%
Richard Spencer3/650.0%+47.2%
James Fanshawe3/933.3%+19.4%
David Simcock3/1030.0%+127.5%
Stuart Williams3/1225.0%-14.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Marco Ghiani9/2339.1%+120.4%
Billy Loughnane8/3522.9%-24.8%
Cieren Fallon5/1827.8%+34.2%
William Buick3/560.0%+78.4%
Ray Dawson3/1030.0%-39.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: David Simcock

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +127.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: James Fanshawe

3 wins from 9 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +19.4% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Marco Botti

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +184.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

9 wins from 23 runs · 39.1% strike rate · +120.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Cieren Fallon

5 wins from 18 runs · 27.8% strike rate · +34.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Christian Howarth

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +59.4% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Middle draws

30 wins from 157 runs · 19.1% strike rate · +8.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population
Non-handicap · 1–7 runners

20 wins from 106 runs · 18.9% strike rate · +30.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Non-handicap; 1–7 runners
5 · 1–7 runners

9 wins from 48 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +20.3% ROI

Stronger evidence · 5; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

13:56Sea Deer Handicap Top PickMassimo Blue5/2 14:31British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Top PickBidsta3/10 15:06EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire and Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race) Top PickLiberty's Hall7/2 15:41EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Top PickCapichera13/2 16:12Goffs Two Million Series Handicap Top PickSavvy Disko16/1 16:45British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Top PickAlice De Clare9/4 17:15Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap Top PickRemi Mae7/1
My Picks