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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Lingfield (AW) Races – Thursday 10 September 2026

Thursday 10 September 2026

14:40–19:05 · 9 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed73

Favourite strike rate37.0%

Favourite place rate67.1%

Race dates 2026-08-12 to 2026-09-10. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f6/11 fav wins · 54.5% · +8.2% ROI11 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
6f5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · -34.2% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
7f6/13 fav wins · 46.2% · -2.8% ROI13 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
1m4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -56.4% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
1m2f3/10 fav wins · 30.0% · -34.7% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

1–7 runners11/29 fav wins · 37.9% · -32.2% ROI29 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
8–10 runners13/32 fav wins · 40.6% · -8.6% ROI32 races · 34 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -43.3% ROI12 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap18/45 fav wins · 40.0% · -13.2% ROI45 races · 51 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Maiden3/10 fav wins · 30.0% · -41.7% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
Novice4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · -17.3% ROI8 races · Small sample
Other2/10 fav wins · 20.0% · -62.8% ROI10 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

Low draws9/20 fav wins · 45.0% · +10.0% ROI20 races · 21 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Middle draws8/29 fav wins · 27.6% · -45.4% ROI29 races · 31 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
High draws10/29 fav wins · 34.5% · -27.1% ROI29 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Richard & Peter Fahey	4/5	80.0%	+573.9%
Marco Botti	3/5	60.0%	+915.0%
John Butler	3/10	30.0%	-7.5%
Stuart Williams	3/10	30.0%	-40.9%
Simon Dow	3/15	20.0%	-13.3%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Marco Ghiani	6/17	35.3%	+408.6%
Pat Cosgrave	3/9	33.3%	+149.0%
Tom Marquand	3/10	30.0%	+122.5%
Billy Loughnane	3/11	27.3%	+9.1%
Callum Shepherd	3/12	25.0%	+13.1%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Archie Watson

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +15.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: David Simcock

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +50.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Adam Kirby

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +116.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

6 wins from 17 runs · 35.3% strike rate · +408.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: David Probert

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +2.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Saffie Osborne

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +281.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

29 wins from 166 runs · 17.5% strike rate · +28.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population

12+ runners

5 wins from 61 runs · 8.2% strike rate · +27.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population

Handicap · 5

9 wins from 58 runs · 15.5% strike rate · +7.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 5

Meeting races

14:40Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap

Top PickMy Maria3/1 15:13Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Restricted Maiden Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Top PickMarquessofanglesey4/6 15:48Download The At The Races App Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickTakaaful8/11 16:23Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap (Div I)

Top PickFederal Envoy11/4 16:58Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap (Div II)

Top PickOn Key9/2 17:33Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap

Top PickKaindy5/6 18:05Sid Sims, Explosive Staging & Events Handicap

Top PickLet's Go Hugo5/1 18:35Follow @attheraces On X Handicap

Top PickHighland Harvey4/1 19:05Get Raceday Ready Handicap

Top PickPrivate Project7/2

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