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Lingfield (AW) Races – Thursday 3 September 2026

Thursday 3 September 2026

15:10–19:00 · 8 races · All-weather

Course overview

Races analysed76
Favourite strike rate36.8%
Favourite place rate63.2%

Race dates 2026-08-05 to 2026-09-03. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f6/12 fav wins · 50.0% · +0.5% ROI12 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f6/13 fav wins · 46.2% · -4.9% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
  • 7f6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · -13.7% ROI14 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4/14 fav wins · 28.6% · -54.1% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f2/11 fav wins · 18.2% · -61.1% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners14/34 fav wins · 41.2% · -27.0% ROI34 races · 36 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners12/30 fav wins · 40.0% · -7.8% ROI30 races · 32 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners2/12 fav wins · 16.7% · -59.5% ROI12 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap18/47 fav wins · 38.3% · -19.8% ROI47 races · 53 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden2/8 fav wins · 25.0% · -50.0% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • Novice5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · -16.5% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • Other3/11 fav wins · 27.3% · -42.0% ROI11 races · 12 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws9/26 fav wins · 34.6% · -19.8% ROI26 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws9/28 fav wins · 32.1% · -33.1% ROI28 races · 29 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws10/27 fav wins · 37.0% · -23.0% ROI27 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Richard & Peter Fahey4/580.0%+573.9%
Marco Botti3/560.0%+915.0%
Stuart Williams3/837.5%-26.1%
Charlie Johnston3/1127.3%+24.8%
John Butler3/1127.3%-15.9%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Marco Ghiani6/1735.3%+408.6%
Saffie Osborne4/1330.8%+298.1%
Callum Shepherd4/1625.0%-4.4%
Luke Morris4/2119.0%-43.9%
Tom Marquand3/1030.0%+122.5%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Charlie Johnston

3 wins from 11 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +24.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey

4 wins from 5 runs · 80.0% strike rate · +573.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Marco Botti

3 wins from 5 runs · 60.0% strike rate · +915.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

6 wins from 17 runs · 35.3% strike rate · +408.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: David Probert

3 wins from 15 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +2.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Saffie Osborne

4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +298.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

34 wins from 198 runs · 17.2% strike rate · +19.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
12+ runners

5 wins from 61 runs · 8.2% strike rate · +32.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Handicap · 5

9 wins from 56 runs · 16.1% strike rate · +18.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 5

Meeting races

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