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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Hamilton Races – Thursday 16 July 2026

Thursday 16 July 2026

13:40–17:10 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed69
Favourite strike rate40.6%
Favourite place rate62.3%

Race dates 2026-05-03 to 2026-07-16. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f6/17 fav wins · 35.3% · -24.7% ROI17 races · 18 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 6f5/15 fav wins · 33.3% · -24.9% ROI15 races · 17 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m1f7/15 fav wins · 46.7% · +12.6% ROI15 races · 16 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3f4/8 fav wins · 50.0% · +7.1% ROI8 races · Small sample
  • 1m5f4/9 fav wins · 44.4% · +1.8% ROI9 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners20/45 fav wins · 44.4% · -7.4% ROI45 races · 48 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners6/17 fav wins · 35.3% · +4.6% ROI17 races · Moderate evidence
  • 11+ runners2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -31.2% ROI7 races · 8 favourite stakes · Small sample

Race categories

  • Handicap17/54 fav wins · 31.5% · -19.8% ROI54 races · 57 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden7/9 fav wins · 77.8% · +51.4% ROI9 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • Novice3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · -8.3% ROI5 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws7/16 fav wins · 43.8% · +7.6% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
  • Middle draws12/25 fav wins · 48.0% · +9.5% ROI25 races · 27 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • High draws9/30 fav wins · 30.0% · -30.2% ROI30 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Jim Goldie9/6513.8%-30.9%
Tim Easterby7/2133.3%+16.7%
Tristan Davidson4/1040.0%+77.5%
Edward Bethell3/1127.3%+22.7%
K R Burke3/1225.0%+4.2%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Paul Mulrennan6/3020.0%+47.1%
Rowan Scott5/1145.5%+202.3%
Sam James5/2025.0%-5.5%
Connor Beasley5/3613.9%-50.7%
David Allan4/1330.8%-1.9%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Tim Easterby

7 wins from 21 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +16.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Kevin Ryan

3 wins from 14 runs · 21.4% strike rate · +29.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: K R Burke

3 wins from 12 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +4.2% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

6 wins from 30 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +47.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jack Nicholls

4 wins from 19 runs · 21.1% strike rate · +2.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Rowan Scott

5 wins from 11 runs · 45.5% strike rate · +202.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

45 wins from 249 runs · 18.1% strike rate · +5.0% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Handicap · 12+ runners

5 wins from 64 runs · 7.8% strike rate · +42.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 12+ runners

Meeting races

13:40British Stallions Studs EBF Nursery Handicap (A Hamilton Park 2-Y-O Series Qualifier) Top PickCall NickiForecast 9/4 14:15Wellman Cars Hamilton Handicap Top PickClassy ClaretsForecast 6/5 14:50Alex McWilliams Memorial Celebrations Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B/C/D) (GBB Race) Top PickMy Mate RogerForecast 1/3 15:25Wellman Cars Private Hire Almada Mile Handicap Top PickI'll Be BackForecast Evs 16:00Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Top PickInspiredForecast 15/8 16:35cubeglassladiesnight@hamiltonpark Handicap Top PickDoon The GlenForecast 9/4 17:10Hamilton Park Centenary Year Handicap Top PickAlnayefForecast 6/4
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