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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Chepstow Races – Thursday 16 July 2026

Thursday 16 July 2026

14:05–17:30 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed27

Favourite strike rate33.3%

Favourite place rate55.6%

Race dates 2026-06-17 to 2026-07-16. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

6f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -12.5% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample
7f2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -26.2% ROI7 races · Small sample
1m2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -24.6% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners7/21 fav wins · 33.3% · -17.9% ROI21 races · 22 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
8–10 runners2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -6.0% ROI5 races · Small sample

Race categories

Handicap5/19 fav wins · 26.3% · -40.3% ROI19 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

Low draws4/15 fav wins · 26.7% · -31.7% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
Middle draws2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · +9.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
High draws3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · -11.6% ROI8 races · Small sample

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Eve Johnson Houghton	3/8	37.5%	+343.8%
Rod Millman	2/7	28.6%	+135.7%
Grace Harris	2/13	15.4%	+17.9%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Callum Hutchinson	3/5	60.0%	+610.0%
Joe Leavy	3/10	30.0%	+40.7%
Jack Doughty	2/8	25.0%	+8.7%
Ryan Kavanagh	2/9	22.2%	-13.0%
Ashley Lewis	2/10	20.0%	+50.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

3 wins from 8 runs · 37.5% strike rate · +343.8% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Rod Millman

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +135.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Joe Leavy

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +40.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Jack Doughty

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +8.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

3 wins from 5 runs · 60.0% strike rate · +610.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

12 · 1–7 runners

3 wins from 16 runs · 18.8% strike rate · +193.8% ROI

Moderate evidence · 12; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

14:05togetheragainfestival.co.uk Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickLyrics Of LifeForecast 4/6 14:40LSL Racing Horse Sales Syndication Leasing Apprentice Handicap

Top PickSavannah SmilesForecast 100/30 15:15EBF / UB40 ft. Ali Campbell 24th July Restricted Novice (Bands B/C/D) (EBF Restricted Qual') (GBB)

Top PickBlondie LarryForecast 2/1 15:50Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap

Top PickPenelope ValentineForecast 6/1 16:25Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap

Top PickTomarloForecast 9/4 17:00DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9TH-11th Ooctober Handicap

Top PickSerenity DreamForecast 5/2 17:30Chepstow Family Fun Day 31st August Handicap

Top PickBumaanForecast 6/4