Distance bands
- 5f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -61.8% ROI5 races · Small sample
- 6f6/11 fav wins · 54.5% · +56.3% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
- 1m3f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -20.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
York Races – Saturday 11 July 2026
Saturday 11 July 2026
14:02–17:30 · 7 races · Flat
Course overview
Races analysed35
Favourite strike rate37.1%
Favourite place rate60.0%
Race dates 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-11. Settled stored results only.
Course patterns
Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.
Field sizes
- 8–10 runners5/8 fav wins · 62.5% · +78.2% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
- 11+ runners7/23 fav wins · 30.4% · -2.6% ROI23 races · 24 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Race categories
- Handicap8/24 fav wins · 33.3% · +8.7% ROI24 races · 26 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
- Other2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -8.9% ROI7 races · Small sample
Favourite draw bands
- Low draws5/12 fav wins · 41.7% · +39.9% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
- Middle draws5/13 fav wins · 38.5% · +24.0% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
- High draws3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -33.8% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
Leading trainers
| Name | Wins/runs | Strike rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 4/13 | 30.8% | +7.7% |
| Richard & Peter Fahey | 3/30 | 10.0% | +38.3% |
| William Haggas | 2/12 | 16.7% | -33.3% |
| Kevin Ryan | 2/14 | 14.3% | +242.9% |
| David O'Meara | 2/23 | 8.7% | -43.5% |
Leading jockeys
| Name | Wins/runs | Strike rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| P J McDonald | 4/6 | 66.7% | +265.2% |
| Oisin Murphy | 2/5 | 40.0% | +24.0% |
| James Doyle | 2/9 | 22.2% | +27.8% |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 2/9 | 22.2% | +111.1% |
Course Angles
Open in Stat FinderTrainer angles
2 wins from 14 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +242.9% ROI
Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +7.7% ROI
Moderate evidence · Course record in selected periodJockey angles
2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +111.1% ROI
Small sample · Course record in selected period2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +27.8% ROI
Small sample · Course record in selected period1 wins from 7 runs · 14.3% strike rate · +171.4% ROI
Small sample · Course record in selected periodRace-condition angles
7 wins from 64 runs · 10.9% strike rate · +7.4% ROI
Stronger evidence · Handicap; 8–11 runners1 wins from 6 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +50.0% ROI
Small sample · 7; 1–7 runnersMeeting races
14:02John Smith's Nursery Handicap
Top PickSuper TuscanForecast 4/1
14:39John Smith's Racing Handicap
Top PickCerulean BayForecast 3/1
15:12John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race)
Top PickAmerican AffairForecast 11/2
15:45John Smith's Cup (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Top PickRaammeeForecast 9/2
16:20John Smith's Stayers' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Top PickSecret ForceForecast 9/4
16:55John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3)
Top PickTabletalkForecast 15/8
17:30John Smith's Sprint Handicap
Top PickRock OperaForecast 17/2
Top PickSuper TuscanForecast 4/1
14:39John Smith's Racing Handicap
Top PickCerulean BayForecast 3/1
15:12John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race)
Top PickAmerican AffairForecast 11/2
15:45John Smith's Cup (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Top PickRaammeeForecast 9/2
16:20John Smith's Stayers' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Top PickSecret ForceForecast 9/4
16:55John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3)
Top PickTabletalkForecast 15/8
17:30John Smith's Sprint Handicap
Top PickRock OperaForecast 17/2