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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Chester Races – Saturday 11 July 2026

Saturday 11 July 2026

13:35–17:32 · 8 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed38

Favourite strike rate44.7%

Favourite place rate65.8%

Race dates 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-11. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

6f3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · -12.5% ROI8 races · 9 favourite stakes · Small sample
7f3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · +5.5% ROI9 races · Small sample
1m4/7 fav wins · 57.1% · +67.1% ROI7 races · 8 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m3f4/6 fav wins · 66.7% · +104.0% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners5/12 fav wins · 41.7% · -13.7% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners10/21 fav wins · 47.6% · +57.8% ROI21 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · +22.2% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample

Race categories

Handicap13/28 fav wins · 46.4% · +46.1% ROI28 races · 30 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Favourite draw bands

Low draws9/19 fav wins · 47.4% · +33.3% ROI19 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
Middle draws6/14 fav wins · 42.9% · +53.0% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
High draws2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -15.6% ROI6 races · 7 favourite stakes · Small sample

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Ed Walker	3/6	50.0%	+129.0%
Jennie Candlish	2/14	14.3%	+100.0%
David Loughnane	2/15	13.3%	+30.0%
Hugo Palmer	2/20	10.0%	-68.1%
Andrew Balding	2/21	9.5%	-66.1%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
David Probert	4/15	26.7%	-5.0%
Ashley Lewis	3/5	60.0%	+174.8%
Jason Hart	3/10	30.0%	+97.5%
Rossa Ryan	2/7	28.6%	+136.2%
Joanna Mason	2/8	25.0%	+25.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Ed Walker

3 wins from 6 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +129.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +97.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Joanna Mason

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +25.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +136.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Low draws

14 wins from 87 runs · 16.1% strike rate · +8.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population

1–7 runners

12 wins from 69 runs · 17.4% strike rate · +17.5% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population

Meeting races

13:35Excell Supply Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickDream VegaForecast 13/8 14:10John Smith's Handicap

Top PickSecret MistralForecast 9/2 14:45Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (Div I)

Top PickPercy's LadForecast 4/1 15:18Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (Div II)

Top PickStart Me UpForecast 2/1 15:52Raymond & Kathleen Corbett Memorial City Plate Stakes (Listed Race)

Top PickWitness StandForecast 5/2 16:24Excell Supply Handicap

Top PickKind TouchForecast 7/2 17:00Minuty, The Spirit Of Saint-Tropez Handicap

Top PickNibras GoldForecast 100/30 17:32Bootleg Beatles Live At Chester Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Top PickGaelic ApproachForecast 7/2

My Picks