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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Chester Races – Friday 10 July 2026

Friday 10 July 2026

17:15–20:50 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed30

Favourite strike rate46.7%

Favourite place rate70.0%

Race dates 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-10. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

6f3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · -1.6% ROI7 races · 8 favourite stakes · Small sample
7f2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · +8.3% ROI7 races · Small sample
1m3/5 fav wins · 60.0% · +70.7% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample
1m3f4/6 fav wins · 66.7% · +104.0% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners4/9 fav wins · 44.4% · -6.2% ROI9 races · Small sample
8–10 runners9/17 fav wins · 52.9% · +74.6% ROI17 races · 19 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap11/22 fav wins · 50.0% · +63.9% ROI22 races · 23 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Favourite draw bands

Low draws7/16 fav wins · 43.8% · +35.9% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
Middle draws5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +82.9% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
High draws2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -1.5% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Jennie Candlish	2/12	16.7%	+133.3%
David Loughnane	2/13	15.4%	+50.0%
Hugo Palmer	2/17	11.8%	-62.5%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
David Probert	4/15	26.7%	-5.0%
Jason Hart	3/10	30.0%	+97.5%
Rossa Ryan	2/7	28.6%	+136.2%
Joanna Mason	2/8	25.0%	+25.0%
Sean D Bowen	2/10	20.0%	+262.5%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Jockey angles

Jockey: Jason Hart

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +97.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Sean D Bowen

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +262.5% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Joanna Mason

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +25.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

9 wins from 50 runs · 18.0% strike rate · +39.4% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population

Meeting races

17:15Excell Supply EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive)

Top PickEighth ImmortalForecast 7/4 17:50Moxy Chester EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Top PickCrownrightForecast 4/5 18:25CAA Stellar Nursery Handicap

Top PickCash CoveForecast 3/1 19:00ESL Export Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Top PickGonna FlyForecast 4/1 19:35John Smith's Handicap

Top PickSupreme KingForecast 5/1 20:12Fired Up Tess Handicap (Div I)

Top PickAlfa WhiteburdForecast 11/2 20:50Fired Up Tess Handicap (Div II)

Top PickKing Of WarForecast 9/2

My Picks