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Newbury Races – Thursday 9 July 2026

Thursday 9 July 2026

17:13–20:37 · 7 races · Flat

Course overview

Races analysed75
Favourite strike rate30.7%
Favourite place rate62.7%

Race dates 2026-03-20 to 2026-07-09. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 6f6/15 fav wins · 40.0% · +15.3% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence
  • 7f5/11 fav wins · 45.5% · -4.4% ROI11 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m3/10 fav wins · 30.0% · -22.4% ROI10 races · 13 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 1m2f4/12 fav wins · 33.3% · -2.9% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • 2m2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -46.4% ROI7 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners6/19 fav wins · 31.6% · -41.5% ROI19 races · 20 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • 8–10 runners8/24 fav wins · 33.3% · -19.2% ROI24 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners9/32 fav wins · 28.1% · -10.5% ROI32 races · 35 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap11/42 fav wins · 26.2% · -21.8% ROI42 races · 46 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Maiden5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +23.2% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • Novice5/14 fav wins · 35.7% · -34.4% ROI14 races · 15 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
  • Other2/9 fav wins · 22.2% · -43.3% ROI9 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws7/21 fav wins · 33.3% · +9.1% ROI21 races · Stronger evidence
  • Middle draws12/30 fav wins · 40.0% · +5.0% ROI30 races · Stronger evidence
  • High draws4/16 fav wins · 25.0% · -44.9% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Richard Hannon5/5010.0%-23.2%
John & Thady Gosden3/1618.8%-87.9%
William Haggas3/2213.6%-38.7%
Ed Walker3/2512.0%-34.0%
Andrew Balding3/2611.5%-53.8%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Hector Crouch6/2227.3%+182.6%
Oisin Murphy4/2615.4%-35.2%
Tom Marquand4/2615.4%+5.8%
Kieran Shoemark4/3312.1%-21.2%
Pat Dobbs3/1323.1%+67.3%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Jonathan Portman

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +40.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: K R Burke

2 wins from 8 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +87.5% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Tom Dascombe

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +714.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Tom Marquand

4 wins from 26 runs · 15.4% strike rate · +5.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Hector Crouch

6 wins from 22 runs · 27.3% strike rate · +182.6% ROI

Stronger evidence · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Pat Dobbs

3 wins from 13 runs · 23.1% strike rate · +67.3% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

Low draws

27 wins from 182 runs · 14.8% strike rate · +56.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population
1–7 runners

19 wins from 111 runs · 17.1% strike rate · +18.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Handicap · 16

5 wins from 29 runs · 17.2% strike rate · +141.2% ROI

Stronger evidence · Handicap; 16

Meeting races

17:13Win Races With Jonathan Portman EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (C/D) (Qual') (GBB) (Div I) Top PickAngel SenseForecast 9/4 17:45Win Races With Jonathan Portman EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (C/D) (Qual') (GBB) (Div II) Top PickSugar Yes PleaseForecast 2/1 18:17Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C & D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) Top PickDesert LegendForecast 3/1 18:52Highclere Castle Gin Handicap Top PickBlack EndeavourForecast 3/1 19:27Pump Technology Engineered To Perform Handicap Top PickThe Dragon KingForecast 6/1 20:02Pump Technology Services Keeping You Flowing Handicap Top PickNorman InvasionForecast 10/1 20:37BetVictor Still 100/1 On England Handicap Top PickKakirraForecast 11/4
My Picks