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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell Races – Monday 11 May 2026

Monday 11 May 2026

14:42–17:47 · 7 races · Chases / Hurdles / National Hunt Flat

Course overview

Races analysed56
Favourite strike rate26.8%
Favourite place rate51.8%

Race dates 2026-04-12 to 2026-05-11. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

  • 5f3/8 fav wins · 37.5% · -38.7% ROI8 races · 10 favourite stakes · Small sample
  • 6f4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -1.1% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
  • 7f3/11 fav wins · 27.3% · -22.0% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
  • 1m4/7 fav wins · 57.1% · +59.6% ROI7 races · Small sample
  • 2m0/7 fav wins · 0.0% · -100.0% ROI7 races · Small sample

Field sizes

  • 1–7 runners6/20 fav wins · 30.0% · -34.6% ROI20 races · Stronger evidence
  • 8–10 runners6/23 fav wins · 26.1% · -35.6% ROI23 races · 25 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • 11+ runners3/13 fav wins · 23.1% · -28.1% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence

Race categories

  • Handicap10/41 fav wins · 24.4% · -33.7% ROI41 races · 42 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
  • Novice4/10 fav wins · 40.0% · -9.0% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

  • Low draws3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -37.8% ROI9 races · Small sample
  • Middle draws2/12 fav wins · 16.7% · -64.2% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
  • High draws7/22 fav wins · 31.8% · -10.2% ROI22 races · Stronger evidence

Leading trainers

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Declan Carroll3/1030.0%+238.9%
Richard Hannon2/540.0%+95.0%
Ruth Carr2/633.3%+80.0%
Alan Brown2/728.6%+64.3%
John Mackie2/728.6%+3.6%

Leading jockeys

NameWins/runsStrike rateROI
Sean Bowen3/650.0%+138.9%
Connor Beasley3/933.3%+81.2%
Zak Wheatley2/633.3%+158.3%
Jack Mitchell2/728.6%+35.7%
Hector Crouch2/825.0%-13.0%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Declan Carroll

3 wins from 10 runs · 30.0% strike rate · +238.9% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period
Trainer: Alan Brown

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +64.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Trainer: John Mackie

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +3.6% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Connor Beasley

3 wins from 9 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +81.2% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Jack Mitchell

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +35.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period
Jockey: Sean Bowen

3 wins from 6 runs · 50.0% strike rate · +138.9% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

12+ runners

5 wins from 62 runs · 8.1% strike rate · +7.8% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population
Non-handicap · 5

4 wins from 26 runs · 15.4% strike rate · +13.9% ROI

Stronger evidence · Non-handicap; 5
16 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 12 runs · 16.7% strike rate · +16.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · 16; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

14:42Dog Friendly Raceday Tues 2nd June Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) Top PickHuckleberry StingForecast 7/4 15:12Book The Bistro At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Top PickDunkerqueForecast 5/2 15:42Summer Fun & Makers Market Raceday 27th July Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (Cat 3) (GBB) (Div I) Top PickFor Her GloryForecast 15/8 16:12Summer Fun & Makers Market Raceday 27th July Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (Cat 3) (GBB) (Div II) Top PickGetmyfriendForecast 2/1 16:42Proudly Supporting Mental Health Awareness Week Novices' Handicap Hurdle Top PickMiss KassiopiForecast 7/2 17:17Conferences And Events At Southwell Racecourse Maiden Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Qual) (GBB) Top PickLouis VeronForecast 4/5 17:47Family Fun Day Monday 31st August Handicap Hurdle Top PickPrairie DiamondForecast 5/2
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