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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Lingfield (AW) Races – Thursday 30 April 2026

Thursday 30 April 2026

14:20–18:10 · 8 races · All-weather / Flat

Course overview

Races analysed37

Favourite strike rate37.8%

Favourite place rate64.9%

Race dates 2026-04-01 to 2026-04-30. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

6f3/9 fav wins · 33.3% · -34.0% ROI9 races · Small sample
7f1/8 fav wins · 12.5% · -77.1% ROI8 races · Small sample
1m2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -21.3% ROI6 races · Small sample
1m2f2/6 fav wins · 33.3% · -2.8% ROI6 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners7/12 fav wins · 58.3% · +24.2% ROI12 races · Moderate evidence
8–10 runners6/16 fav wins · 37.5% · -3.6% ROI16 races · Moderate evidence
11+ runners1/9 fav wins · 11.1% · -61.1% ROI9 races · Small sample

Race categories

Handicap9/29 fav wins · 31.0% · -13.2% ROI29 races · Stronger evidence
Maiden2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -31.8% ROI5 races · Small sample

Favourite draw bands

Low draws3/6 fav wins · 50.0% · +14.6% ROI6 races · Small sample
Middle draws5/10 fav wins · 50.0% · +14.3% ROI10 races · Moderate evidence
High draws4/13 fav wins · 30.8% · -7.4% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
James Fanshawe	2/5	40.0%	-54.2%
Archie Watson	2/7	28.6%	-16.7%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
David Probert	4/16	25.0%	+53.6%
Billy Loughnane	2/7	28.6%	+83.3%
Rob Hornby	2/7	28.6%	+83.3%
Hollie Doyle	2/8	25.0%	-22.9%
Luke Morris	2/15	13.3%	-26.7%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Jockey angles

Jockey: David Probert

4 wins from 16 runs · 25.0% strike rate · +53.6% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Rob Hornby

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +83.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +83.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

5 · 1–7 runners

2 wins from 10 runs · 20.0% strike rate · +1.7% ROI

Moderate evidence · 5; 1–7 runners

Meeting races

14:20Follow @attheraces On X Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Top PickAlpe d'HuezForecast 6/4 14:5513th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div I)

Top PickPoetic JackForecast 11/4 15:3013th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div II)

Top PickPorfinForecast 11/2 16:05Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap

Top PickTuscan PointForecast 5/4 16:35Free Bets On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap

Top PickBergamo GoldForecast 7/2 17:07Newsteam Group Handicap

Top PickSuper HitForecast 7/2 17:40Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap

Top PickHavana TouchForecast 7/2 18:10Download The At The Races App Handicap

Top PickDivotForecast 6/4

My Picks