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Meeting & Course Intelligence

Southwell (AW) Races – Wednesday 29 April 2026

Wednesday 29 April 2026

14:20–18:15 · 8 races · All-weather / Flat

Course overview

Races analysed72

Favourite strike rate25.0%

Favourite place rate55.6%

Race dates 2026-03-31 to 2026-04-29. Settled stored results only.

Course patterns

Official starting-price favourites by race context in the selected period.

Distance bands

5f3/12 fav wins · 25.0% · -56.2% ROI12 races · 14 favourite stakes · Moderate evidence
6f2/11 fav wins · 18.2% · -50.8% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence
7f2/14 fav wins · 14.3% · -69.7% ROI14 races · Moderate evidence
1m5/13 fav wins · 38.5% · +9.0% ROI13 races · Moderate evidence
1m4f1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -55.0% ROI5 races · Small sample
2m2/5 fav wins · 40.0% · -30.6% ROI5 races · Small sample

Field sizes

1–7 runners9/28 fav wins · 32.1% · -25.0% ROI28 races · Stronger evidence
8–10 runners7/33 fav wins · 21.2% · -50.8% ROI33 races · 35 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
11+ runners2/11 fav wins · 18.2% · -49.1% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence

Race categories

Handicap12/54 fav wins · 22.2% · -42.7% ROI54 races · 55 favourite stakes · Stronger evidence
Maiden1/5 fav wins · 20.0% · -58.3% ROI5 races · 6 favourite stakes · Small sample
Novice4/11 fav wins · 36.4% · -25.3% ROI11 races · Moderate evidence

Favourite draw bands

Low draws3/7 fav wins · 42.9% · -20.0% ROI7 races · Small sample
Middle draws2/7 fav wins · 28.6% · -38.6% ROI7 races · Small sample
High draws3/15 fav wins · 20.0% · -37.9% ROI15 races · Moderate evidence

Leading trainers

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Iain Jardine	2/5	40.0%	+50.0%
Marco Botti	2/5	40.0%	+42.3%
Edward Bethell	2/6	33.3%	+108.3%
Declan Carroll	2/7	28.6%	+350.0%

Leading jockeys

Name	Wins/runs	Strike rate	ROI
Connor Beasley	4/11	36.4%	+120.0%
Hector Crouch	4/13	30.8%	+60.1%
Marco Ghiani	2/5	40.0%	+42.3%
Oisin Orr	2/5	40.0%	+312.5%
Hollie Doyle	2/7	28.6%	-11.4%

Course Angles

Open in Stat Finder

Trainer angles

Trainer: Declan Carroll

2 wins from 7 runs · 28.6% strike rate · +350.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Edward Bethell

2 wins from 6 runs · 33.3% strike rate · +108.3% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Trainer: Iain Jardine

2 wins from 5 runs · 40.0% strike rate · +50.0% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Jockey angles

Jockey: Hector Crouch

4 wins from 13 runs · 30.8% strike rate · +60.1% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Connor Beasley

4 wins from 11 runs · 36.4% strike rate · +120.0% ROI

Moderate evidence · Course record in selected period

Jockey: Billy Garritty

2 wins from 9 runs · 22.2% strike rate · +53.7% ROI

Small sample · Course record in selected period

Race-condition angles

1–7 runners

28 wins from 160 runs · 17.5% strike rate · +4.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Field size within the selected course population

Middle draws

15 wins from 76 runs · 19.7% strike rate · +44.1% ROI

Stronger evidence · Draw within the selected course population

6 · 12+ runners

2 wins from 25 runs · 8.0% strike rate · +16.7% ROI

Stronger evidence · 6; 12+ runners

Meeting races

14:20Summer Social Events At Southwell Racecourse Handicap

Top PickBetelgeuseForecast 5/2 14:55Book The Bistro In Sherwood Restaurant EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickBellatinaForecast 15/8 15:30Come Racing For Free 18th June Handicap

Top PickMagician Of RigaForecast 11/8 16:05Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Fillies' Handicap

Top PickWondrous LightForecast 9/4 16:40Dog Friendly Raceday Tues 2nd June Handicap (Div I)

Top PickKondratiev WaveForecast 11/4 17:15Dog Friendly Raceday Tues 2nd June Handicap (Div II)

Top PickTimely AffairForecast 7/4 17:45Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Top PickGold Star GazingForecast 7/4 18:15Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Handicap

Top PickTabbyForecast 11/4

My Picks